NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	83		Excitement	5.2 [739]		MVP	Darius Songaila (WAS): +10.7%
Washington Wizards	95		Comeback	1.3 [441]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): -13.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	18	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.05	0.05	9	61%	-0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	6	83%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	8	73%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	-0.05	13	63%	0.14	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	18	56%	0.15	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	8	67%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.02	8	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	3.5	31.4	18.7	27.2	3.6	33.3	142.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +50.9%

WAS +1.9%

DET -10.8%

WAS +4.2%

WAS +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	WAS	NBA	DET	WAS	NBA
this game	17.0	18.6	15.4	102.5	117.3	105.7
season	16.8	16.1		108.8	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.8		107.4	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.7	18.0	17.7	15.4	17.0
WAS	16.8	18.0	19.1	20.6	18.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	18	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-15	18	19.3	16.3	2.98	19.5	18.3	1.22
Amir Johnson	11	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-8	4	17.2	16.9	0.25	16.8	18.9	-2.05
Rodney Stuckey	29	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-9	6	17.2	16.8	0.43	18.6	18.6	-0.04
Jarvis Hayes	23	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-9	6	18.5	16.4	2.12	18.5	18.6	-0.10
Jason Maxiell	26	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-10	8	17.6	16.7	0.96	18.6	18.6	0.03
Antonio McDyess	56	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.12	-13	1	-14	16.0	19.2	-3.24	18.2	19.4	-1.28
Richard Hamilton	72	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-4	-4	16.7	19.1	-2.42	18.7	17.6	1.11
Rasheed Wallace	44	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.18	-6	-6	0	18.0	15.7	2.32	18.8	18.3	0.49
Tayshaun Prince	64	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-1	-10	16.7	18.1	-1.39	18.5	18.8	-0.27
Chauncey Billups	62	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	1	-14	16.0	19.9	-3.90	18.7	18.1	0.69

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	70	69	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	0	12	18.6	18.8	-0.26	16.9	17.4	-0.53
Roger Mason Jr.	37	36	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	3	6	18.7	18.5	0.25	18.7	15.6	3.07
Antawn Jamison	63	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	0	12	18.8	17.8	0.98	16.4	19.0	-2.62
Caron Butler	68	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	6	0	18.6	18.5	0.16	16.4	20.3	-3.83
Brendan Haywood	59	60	0.35	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	2	8	18.5	18.9	-0.43	16.3	18.7	-2.36
Darius Songaila	27	26	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	10	-8	18.3	18.7	-0.39	18.6	16.2	2.43
Andray Blatche	25	25	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	11	-10	19.4	18.2	1.17	18.6	16.2	2.31
DeShawn Stevenson	51	52	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	6	0	18.3	19.0	-0.70	16.0	18.6	-2.58
Dominic McGuire	4	3	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	11	-10	19.7	18.5	1.22	21.0	16.8	4.19
Oleksiy Pecherov	1	1	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	11	-10	3.0	18.8	-15.79	24.0	16.9	7.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 89, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
NOP 94, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1	94.5%
MIA 86, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,1,1,1	94.4%