NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	86		Excitement	5.5 [723]		MVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): +13.5%
Houston Rockets	93		Comeback	1.2 [889]		LVP	Michael Beasley (MIA): -11.0%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	15	65%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	25	52%	0.10	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.05
Daequan Cook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	12	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	10	41%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Chalmers	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	16	35%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.12	-0.01	17	61%	0.24	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	-0.00	0.03	12	96%	0.27	5	-0.17	3	67%	-0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	2	80%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	6	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	18	42%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	29.0	15.8	24.0	2.5	28.3	126.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +59.1%

HOU +9.5%

MIA -0.1%

MIA -25.2%

HOU +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	HOU	NBA	MIA	HOU	NBA
this game	15.7	16.8	15.5	96.6	105.7	106.4
season	16.0	16.3		105.9	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.7		102.7	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.7	15.8	16.8	13.5	15.7
HOU	14.6	16.2	18.4	18.3	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yakhouba Diawara	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-12	17	16.2	15.6	0.53	19.2	16.5	2.69
Joel Anthony	31	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-7	7	17.3	14.8	2.48	16.6	17.0	-0.40
Chris Quinn	19	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-11	15	16.9	15.4	1.51	16.8	16.8	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	27	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-9	11	14.1	16.4	-2.35	17.4	16.6	0.87
Michael Beasley	36	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-3	-1	15.5	15.9	-0.40	17.1	16.6	0.50
Shawn Marion	66	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	0	-7	15.6	16.0	-0.39	16.7	17.3	-0.69
Udonis Haslem	64	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	2	-11	16.3	14.2	2.10	16.6	17.5	-0.88
Dwyane Wade	73	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	3	-13	15.7	15.8	-0.13	16.3	19.1	-2.72
Daequan Cook	54	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-1	-5	14.7	17.3	-2.55	17.4	15.9	1.49
Mario Chalmers	63	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	3	-13	15.7	15.7	-0.03	16.6	17.4	-0.84

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	36	38	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	1	5	18.2	15.9	2.38	15.2	16.1	-0.91
Aaron Brooks	33	33	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	4	-1	17.5	16.5	0.98	15.5	15.9	-0.40
Rafer Alston	69	70	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	4	-1	16.6	17.7	-1.08	15.7	15.8	-0.17
Charles Hayes	25	24	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	1	5	17.6	16.6	1.00	15.9	15.6	0.23
Brent Barry	35	36	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	1	5	17.0	16.8	0.22	15.5	15.8	-0.35
Shane Battier	54	54	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	0	7	16.7	17.1	-0.40	16.0	15.3	0.74
Von Wafer	73	74	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.17	2	5	-3	16.8	16.9	-0.03	15.7	15.5	0.21
Yao Ming	63	65	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	6	-5	16.6	17.6	-1.00	15.6	15.9	-0.23
Luis Scola	52	51	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	6	-5	15.9	18.2	-2.38	16.1	15.2	0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 90, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
MIN 96, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
TOR 97, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%