NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	97		Excitement	5.5 [710]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +15.9%
Boston Celtics	106		Comeback	1.3 [806]		LVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): -21.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.16	0.02	0.14	7	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	75%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Keon Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	62%	0.08	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Dell Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	26	46%	-0.02	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Alvin Williams	-0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.07	-0.00	10	20%	-0.12	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.04	0.02	17	71%	0.18	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	3	100%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.02	8	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	19	48%	0.07	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	62%	0.03	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.04	13	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	6	43%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	30.5	15.7	24.3	2.6	28.2	129.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +61.1%

TOR -13.9%

TOR -10.5%

BOS +12.3%

BOS +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	16.3	14.6	15.6	104.3	114.0	102.3
season	16.2	15.0		100.3	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.6		98.8	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.2	17.6	15.3	17.4	16.3
BOS	14.2	11.2	15.3	18.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	45	46	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-12	15	15.5	17.1	-1.68	14.9	14.4	0.51
Dell Curry	23	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-2	-5	17.5	15.9	1.58	11.7	15.6	-3.96
Chris Childs	36	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-5	1	16.8	16.0	0.82	15.3	14.3	1.04
Antonio Davis	75	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-4	-1	15.7	19.0	-3.31	14.9	13.4	1.48
Alvin Williams	71	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	15.9	17.6	-1.71	13.9	17.0	-3.12
Tracy Murray	20	20	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-4	-1	17.4	16.0	1.42	18.5	13.6	4.99
Hakeem Olajuwon	57	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	16.8	15.5	1.31	14.1	15.5	-1.46
Keon Clark	54	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-3	-3	16.7	15.8	0.84	14.8	14.4	0.46
Vince Carter	84	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.24	-7	-2	-5	16.3	16.3	0.00	14.7	13.9	0.83

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	48	49	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.03	20	-11	31	13.3	16.0	-2.69	16.9	15.7	1.28
Erick Strickland	47	48	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-3	15	13.7	15.6	-1.93	16.4	16.2	0.22
Paul Pierce	75	76	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	0	9	14.7	14.6	0.10	16.9	13.8	3.07
Walter McCarty	6	5	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	2	5	15.5	14.6	0.93	17.4	16.3	1.13
Eric Williams	53	54	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	5	-1	14.6	14.7	-0.16	16.0	16.7	-0.71
Kedrick Brown	54	54	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	1	7	13.6	16.0	-2.35	15.8	17.0	-1.19
Antoine Walker	83	82	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	10	-11	15.1	10.7	4.41	16.4	15.7	0.69
Kenny Anderson	56	55	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.16	-8	17	-25	16.0	12.6	3.34	15.6	17.4	-1.84
Tony Battie	43	42	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	15	-21	15.7	13.8	1.89	16.2	16.4	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	95.0%
OKC 74, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
MIA 86, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,1,1,1	94.8%