NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Excitement	4.8 [865]		MVP	Mikki Moore (NJN): +19.9%
New Jersey Nets	100		Comeback	1.0 [891]		LVP	Marcus Williams (NJN): -7.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.04	0.03	8	78%	0.15	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	0.00	4	80%	0.12	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Bracey Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mark Blount	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	68%	0.12	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Craig Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Marko Jaric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	15	58%	0.03	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	14	49%	0.04	2	-0.08	7	100%	0.03
Mike James	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.05	0.03	9	95%	0.20	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.05	0.03	9	79%	0.16	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.04
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	64%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	16	62%	0.13	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Hassan Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	16	41%	0.00	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.6	29.2	15.8	25.2	2.7	34.2	133.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +32.6%

MIN -16.2%

NJN +16.5%

NJN +10.3%

NJN +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NJN	NBA	MIN	NJN	NBA
this game	16.5	16.2	15.4	103.4	114.9	104.5
season	15.4	15.4		101.9	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.6		103.8	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.0	17.0	17.5	14.7	16.5
NJN	14.3	16.5	17.6	16.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	17	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-7	6	16.7	16.5	0.21	16.4	16.1	0.26
Ricky Davis	75	75	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.27	2	-10	12	16.4	17.1	-0.63	16.3	15.7	0.50
Mike James	52	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	0	-8	17.3	15.4	1.94	15.1	17.6	-2.55
Kevin Garnett	72	71	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.33	3	-11	14	16.0	18.6	-2.61	16.5	14.9	1.53
Bracey Wright	23	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-6	4	14.7	17.2	-2.43	16.6	16.0	0.52
Mark Blount	56	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	2	-12	17.8	14.5	3.31	15.4	17.5	-2.08
Trenton Hassell	66	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-5	2	15.9	18.4	-2.56	16.3	16.0	0.31
Randy Foye	48	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	-1	-6	15.6	17.7	-2.12	17.1	15.1	1.96
Craig Smith	36	35	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.04	-14	6	-20	18.2	15.4	2.87	16.5	16.0	0.55

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	78	80	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	1	6	16.2	16.1	0.08	15.9	21.8	-5.83
Mikki Moore	73	73	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	0	8	15.8	18.4	-2.68	16.6	16.3	0.28
Jason Kidd	66	68	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	2	4	15.8	17.3	-1.45	16.0	18.1	-2.10
Marcus Williams	25	26	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	-1	10	18.6	15.2	3.45	17.8	16.0	1.85
Josh Boone	22	24	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	4	0	19.2	15.2	4.01	16.9	16.4	0.52
Eddie House	19	18	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	1	6	14.9	16.5	-1.58	19.0	15.9	3.08
Jason Collins	48	48	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	4	0	15.1	17.5	-2.46	17.5	15.4	2.18
Bostjan Nachbar	31	33	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	8	-8	16.8	15.9	0.92	14.7	17.6	-2.93
Vince Carter	64	65	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.21	-3	11	-14	15.6	17.8	-2.17	16.5	16.7	-0.23
Hassan Adams	9	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	10	-12	18.6	15.9	2.65	17.2	16.5	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 83, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
TOR 97, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
WAS 82, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%