NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	97		Excitement	5.1 [789]		MVP	Roger Mason Jr. (SAS): +12.6%
San Antonio Spurs	104		Comeback	1.3 [966]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -11.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Young	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.00	0.01	6	85%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	12	63%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0.05	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	-0.01	0.07	19	72%	0.14	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	3	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	9	45%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00
Mike Conley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	0.03	9	48%	-0.03	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.01	-0.01	8	94%	0.16	3	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	7	69%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.05	0.01	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	14	47%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.01	0.05	14	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	19	46%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	8	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.6	27.1	15.7	28.1	1.6	37.3	138.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +20.0%

MEM -2.7%

SAS +22.2%

SAS +10.4%

SAS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	14.9	16.4	15.3	105.4	113.0	106.0
season	15.4	15.9		106.8	108.2
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.4	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	19.0	14.5	14.7	11.8	14.9
SAS	13.7	15.5	18.0	18.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hamed Haddadi	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-6	5	7.8	15.4	-7.56	13.0	16.6	-3.64
Steven Hunter	6	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-7	7	13.0	15.0	-2.03	16.0	16.4	-0.43
DeMarre Carroll	16	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	-2	-3	16.3	14.6	1.71	15.5	16.6	-1.09
Sam Young	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-8	9	14.4	15.2	-0.81	17.5	15.8	1.73
Jamaal Tinsley	19	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-3	-1	16.1	14.6	1.45	15.7	16.6	-0.90
Marc Gasol	55	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.40	7	-14	21	15.1	14.6	0.56	16.9	15.6	1.39
Hasheem Thabeet	24	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	0	-7	16.3	14.4	1.88	14.6	17.0	-2.39
Mike Conley	73	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-4	1	14.6	16.1	-1.45	16.6	15.7	0.90
O.J. Mayo	75	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-3	-1	15.0	14.5	0.46	16.6	15.4	1.21
Zach Randolph	74	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-2	-3	14.7	15.8	-1.09	16.5	15.9	0.64
Rudy Gay	80	80	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.23	-14	7	-21	15.0	13.9	1.13	16.2	17.6	-1.36

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	65	65	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.25	10	-3	13	16.7	15.7	0.99	16.0	12.3	3.74
Tim Duncan	64	62	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.18	10	-3	13	17.5	13.9	3.56	14.8	15.0	-0.19
George Hill	66	67	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	2	3	16.8	15.3	1.53	15.1	14.4	0.63
Antonio McDyess	51	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	-1	9	16.5	16.2	0.33	15.8	13.7	2.01
Keith Bogans	44	45	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.03	10	-3	13	15.8	16.9	-1.12	15.8	14.1	1.71
Roger Mason Jr.	55	55	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	8	-9	16.6	16.1	0.58	13.5	16.9	-3.37
Manu Ginobili	59	57	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	8	-9	15.3	18.5	-3.20	13.6	16.9	-3.29
Matt Bonner	22	20	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	7	-7	15.1	16.8	-1.66	15.6	14.7	0.89
DeJuan Blair	34	36	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.13	-6	13	-19	15.9	16.7	-0.73	14.0	15.5	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 94, CHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.58,0.51,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.82,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%
NOH 97, DEN 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
WAS 82, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.75,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%