NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	124		Excitement	9.5 [123]		MVP	Zion Williamson (NOP): +35.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	129		Comeback	2.1 [772]		LVP	Damion Lee (PHX): -16.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Torrey Craig	0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.08	0.26	-0.01	10	64%	0.34	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Deandre Ayton	0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.18	0.03	0.01	18	72%	0.23	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Mikal Bridges	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.00	0.01	23	56%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Landry Shamet	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	3	71%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Josh Okogie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cameron Payne	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	14	55%	0.07	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.06	0.00	10	29%	0.08	3	-0.15	1	0%	-0.02
Dario Saric	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	8	31%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.12	0.01	7	53%	0.03	3	-0.18	1	0%	-0.01
Damion Lee	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	0.01	-0.15	0.02	11	50%	-0.03	1	-0.13	2	100%	0.05

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.14	0.15	-0.07	21	71%	0.48	5	-0.13	7	71%	-0.03
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.12	0.01	8	76%	0.25	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.02
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.06	0.00	7	94%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.06	0.02	24	60%	0.19	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	7	65%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Willy Hernangomez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	8	47%	0.09	1	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	3	25%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	57%	0.02	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	28.8	14.4	31.6	1.8	37.0	2.4	13.2	156.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +49.4%

PHX -2.0%

PHX -27.3%

NOP +27.6%

NOP +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOP	NBA	PHX	NOP	NBA
this game	16.1	13.8	14.4	115.9	121.7	113.4
season	14.5	14.2		114.2	113.4
opponent	14.6	14.5		111.6	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	16.1	17.1	15.0	16.6	14.8	16.1
NOP	13.2	10.6	13.8	16.1	18.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jock Landale	42	38	0.35	-0.85	1.19	-0.01	12	-17	29	15.1	16.6	-1.50	15.1	13.0	2.09
Landry Shamet	28	26	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.17	13	-18	31	13.9	16.8	-2.98	13.3	13.9	-0.59
Josh Okogie	11	13	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.00	6	-11	17	11.5	16.6	-5.13	15.8	13.5	2.25
Damion Lee	69	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-10	15	15.6	16.9	-1.30	14.2	13.1	1.05
Dario Saric	43	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	2	-9	16.7	15.6	1.15	13.2	14.2	-0.98
Chris Paul	67	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	0	-5	17.5	13.6	3.84	13.2	14.9	-1.68
Cameron Payne	51	48	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.19	-11	6	-17	15.6	16.5	-0.89	13.3	14.2	-0.95
Torrey Craig	70	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.18	-12	7	-19	16.1	15.9	0.25	14.4	12.6	1.78
Mikal Bridges	89	88	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.31	-9	4	-13	16.5	14.1	2.41	13.9	13.3	0.62
Deandre Ayton	65	68	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.35	-17	12	-29	16.6	15.1	1.50	13.0	15.1	-2.09

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zion Williamson	84	82	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.28	16	-11	27	13.8	13.9	-0.15	16.2	15.5	0.70
Dyson Daniels	69	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.37	10	-5	15	13.8	13.7	0.14	16.8	14.6	2.18
Larry Nance Jr.	66	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-6	17	14.0	13.4	0.55	16.2	15.8	0.37
CJ McCollum	88	89	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	1	3	14.1	12.2	1.89	16.2	15.3	0.87
Naji Marshall	73	75	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.42	-4	9	-13	14.1	13.0	1.11	15.2	18.0	-2.77
Jose Alvarado	23	23	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	5	-5	13.1	14.0	-0.90	14.4	16.5	-2.07
Jonas Valanciunas	36	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	8	-11	13.4	14.0	-0.61	16.5	15.8	0.70
Trey Murphy III	68	70	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	7	-9	13.8	13.8	0.00	16.4	15.4	0.99
Willy Hernangomez	3	3	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	8	-11	12.7	13.8	-1.16	11.7	16.2	-4.52
Devonte' Graham	20	19	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.06	-4	9	-13	12.1	14.2	-2.09	15.2	16.2	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.71,0.57,0.74,0.54,0.53,0.71,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 126, MEM 132	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.94,0.91,1	91.3%
PHX 100, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.94,0.97,1	90.5%
SEA 92, NOK 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.85,0.46,0.68,0.79,0.99,0.99,1	90.4%