NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	123		Excitement	15.4 [1]		MVP	Jabari Smith Jr. (HOU): +34.8%
Houston Rockets	132		Comeback	3.8 [213]		LVP	James Harden (PHI): -54.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.20	0.14	0.00	15	84%	0.42	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Paul Reed	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
De'Anthony Melton	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.20	2	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Embiid	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.35,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.13	-0.12	0.01	21	66%	0.46	5	-0.45	17	82%	-0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	10	55%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
James Harden	-0.55	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.28,-0.37,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.49,-0.58,-0.58,-0.61,-0.54,-0.55	-0.13	-0.46	-0.05	19	44%	-0.12	7	-0.43	10	90%	0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.08	0.27	0.00	8	64%	0.37	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.07
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.14	-0.00	11	75%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	7	78%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.08	-0.02	5	43%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.02	10	58%	0.11	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Usman Garuba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	5	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Daishen Nix	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.18,-0.29,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.15	0.02	20	54%	0.15	7	-0.36	10	90%	0.04
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.2,-0.2,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.57,-0.55,-0.55,-0.38,-0.38,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	0.03	-0.41	0.00	17	57%	-0.09	4	-0.30	8	75%	-0.17
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.22,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.36,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43	-0.43	-0.08	-0.34	0.00	9	44%	-0.21	4	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	33.8	0.8	25.4	14.6	29.2	1.8	34.2	2.6	17.3	1.7	14.4	175.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -50.2%

HOU +22.5%

HOU +56.5%

HOU +26.4%

PHI -5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	HOU	NBA	PHI	HOU	NBA
this game	14.7	16.5	14.4	110.8	117.9	113.4
season	15.2	14.8		115.9	109.8
opponent	13.9	14.5		118.0	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	14.0	15.2	13.5	14.8	17.3	14.6
HOU	16.7	14.2	16.5	18.6	18.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	66	67	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.06	8	-17	25	15.6	13.5	2.04	16.9	15.9	0.98
Matisse Thybulle	14	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-7	5	16.3	14.5	1.76	18.5	16.2	2.29
James Harden	71	73	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-13	17	14.8	14.6	0.27	17.3	14.8	2.47
Montrezl Harrell	9	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-3	-3	15.7	14.7	1.00	15.8	16.5	-0.72
De'Anthony Melton	74	76	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-6	3	15.6	13.1	2.42	16.3	16.8	-0.52
P.J. Tucker	76	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-8	7	15.4	13.3	2.14	17.5	14.1	3.40
Furkan Korkmaz	29	28	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-2	-5	12.9	15.4	-2.55	13.4	17.5	-4.04
Danuel House Jr.	40	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	1	-11	13.2	15.6	-2.38	16.5	16.5	0.01
Shake Milton	55	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.06	-13	4	-17	13.7	15.7	-2.02	14.9	17.9	-2.95
Tobias Harris	87	89	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.27	-7	-2	-5	15.0	13.9	1.06	16.4	16.6	-0.14
Paul Reed	34	32	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.34	-8	-1	-7	13.3	15.4	-2.14	16.3	16.5	-0.24

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alperen Sengun	65	64	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	1	7	16.5	16.4	0.16	16.3	12.7	3.62
Kevin Porter Jr.	84	82	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.13	13	-4	17	16.2	17.1	-0.87	15.7	12.2	3.49
Jalen Green	84	83	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.13	12	-3	15	16.2	17.1	-0.87	15.5	12.4	3.15
Eric Gordon	78	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	7	-5	17.0	15.2	1.79	14.7	14.8	-0.12
Kenyon Martin Jr.	39	40	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	-6	21	15.9	16.7	-0.82	13.3	15.5	-2.19
Jabari Smith Jr.	74	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	1	7	16.4	16.6	-0.27	15.7	13.1	2.58
Tari Eason	42	42	0.17	0.34	-0.17	0.17	0	9	-9	16.6	16.4	0.19	13.0	15.8	-2.73
Bruno Fernando	44	45	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	8	-7	16.9	16.2	0.67	13.5	15.6	-2.04
Daishen Nix	28	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	13	-17	17.1	16.2	0.87	12.2	15.7	-3.49
Usman Garuba	13	12	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	13	-17	16.5	16.4	0.09	12.2	15.1	-2.89
Garrison Mathews	22	22	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.09	-7	16	-23	15.7	16.6	-0.91	14.1	14.9	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.75,0.89,0.97,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 110, MIA 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.61,0.73,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.49,0.22,0.25,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.64,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.64,0.79,0.98,0.96,1	87.0%
ORL 125, PHI 126	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.55,0.57,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.67,0.92,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.85,0.96,1	86.2%
LAL 101, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.54,0.69,0.91,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.77,0.84,1	86.0%