NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	125		Excitement	13.1 [12]		MVP	Arron Afflalo (ORL): +50.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	126		Comeback	2.5 [626]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -39.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0.51	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.44,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.51	0.23	0.33	0.05	27	66%	0.59	3	-0.08	11	91%	0.17
Jason Maxiell	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	-0.00	7	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.16,0.01,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.18,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.06	0.01	24	62%	0.41	4	-0.39	5	40%	-0.07
Victor Oladipo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	18	54%	0.07	3	-0.09	12	83%	-0.01
Solomon Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	7	57%	0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.33	-0.18	-0.16	-0.01	6	7%	-0.22	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.10	0.28	0.00	20	60%	0.41	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.14	-0.04	10	66%	0.30	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.04
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.02	5	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Orton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.01	15	57%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.06	-0.02	19	60%	0.28	7	-0.34	7	57%	-0.12
Brandon Davies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,0.02,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.31,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4	-0.40	-0.09	-0.30	0.00	16	53%	0.09	8	-0.49	13	77%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	31.4	15.6	24.7	1.5	36.5	1.6	21.1	2.4	26.6	189.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +45.6%

ORL -33.3%

PHI +49.2%

ORL -7.4%

ORL -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.8	14.6	15.1	109.6	109.6	105.2
season	15.3	13.7		100.4	98.4
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.4	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ORL	14.3	17.0	17.7	16.2	13.9	15.8
PHI	12.9	14.3	15.0	17.2	14.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	16	17	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-1	1	15.2	15.9	-0.63	15.1	14.5	0.60
Solomon Jones	5	5	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	6	-13	20.6	15.6	5.03	12.4	14.7	-2.31
Glen Davis	96	98	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.46	8	-9	17	16.1	14.2	1.93	15.7	8.6	7.06
Ronnie Price	78	79	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-4	7	15.5	16.3	-0.79	14.7	14.4	0.24
Jason Maxiell	47	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	4	-9	16.4	15.3	1.12	13.6	15.3	-1.65
Andrew Nicholson	78	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.38	1	-2	3	14.9	17.6	-2.66	14.2	15.5	-1.33
Arron Afflalo	103	104	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.52	5	-6	11	15.7	16.3	-0.53	14.6	15.0	-0.43
E'Twaun Moore	44	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	6	-13	16.2	15.5	0.71	14.2	14.9	-0.69
Victor Oladipo	103	102	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.34	-3	2	-5	15.7	16.2	-0.43	14.6	14.8	-0.27

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Carter-Williams	92	93	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.38	12	-11	23	14.3	15.7	-1.36	15.5	17.2	-1.78
Hollis Thompson	66	63	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.33	10	-9	19	14.1	15.3	-1.18	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Thaddeus Young	96	98	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.32	9	-8	17	14.2	16.5	-2.30	15.4	18.4	-3.01
Spencer Hawes	79	80	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.45	1	0	1	14.9	14.0	0.85	15.9	15.6	0.24
James Anderson	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.69	-9	10	-19	15.0	14.2	0.73	15.7	15.9	-0.20
Evan Turner	80	83	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.13	12	-11	23	14.4	15.1	-0.69	16.0	15.3	0.69
Daniel Orton	8	7	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	-1	3	11.5	14.8	-3.34	12.4	16.0	-3.58
Lavoy Allen	28	26	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	3	-5	14.7	14.6	0.19	16.8	15.5	1.37
Brandon Davies	19	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.15	-8	9	-17	16.5	14.2	2.30	18.4	15.4	3.01
Elliot Williams	21	20	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	10	-19	15.6	14.4	1.24	15.5	15.9	-0.35
Tony Wroten	27	25	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.07	-13	14	-27	15.8	14.2	1.58	16.9	15.5	1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.55,0.57,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.67,0.92,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 105, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.6,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.62,0.71,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.8,0.79,0.91,0.85,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.85,0.72,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.68,0.98,1	90.1%
MIA 95, BKN 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.79,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.81,0.63,0.33,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.83,0.54,0.69,0.84,0.99,1,1	85.5%
NJN 86, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.7,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.81,0.9,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.57,0.73,0.46,0.61,0.66,0.94,0.99,1	85.4%