NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Excitement	11.8 [15]		MVP	Greivis Vasquez (MIL): +20.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	108		Comeback	2.1 [266]		LVP	J.R. Smith (CLE): -25.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.15,0.15,0.06,-0.03,0.2,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.18	-0.00	0.17	-0.01	27	56%	0.55	7	-0.37	12	50%	-0.12
Tristan Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	10	61%	0.12	1	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Kevin Love	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	0.06	-0.19	0.01	18	57%	-0.08	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.04
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	8	25%	-0.13	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.25	-0.10	-0.15	0.00	14	36%	-0.10	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.15	0.00	8	62%	0.23	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.08	-0.02	17	47%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	10	55%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.01	12	57%	0.21	3	-0.17	6	83%	0.03
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.04	0.00	13	39%	0.11	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	18	39%	-0.01	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.03
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	0.04	-0.18	-0.02	16	53%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	27.9	14.8	25.1	2.5	34.2	1.8	17.2	2.0	18.9	173.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +2.9%

MIL +23.9%

CLE -3.9%

MIL +30.1%

CLE -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	15.2	16.4	14.9	94.6	99.1	105.1
season	15.8	14.8		110.3	102.8
opponent	15.3	14.9		107.2	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	14.3	15.9	17.3	15.6	12.8	15.2
MIL	16.4	16.1	14.7	18.8	16.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	11	11	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.05	6	-9	15	14.2	15.3	-1.13	14.5	16.7	-2.12
Jared Cunningham	7	6	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-6	9	13.3	15.3	-2.04	20.5	16.2	4.29
Tristan Thompson	51	46	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.21	-7	4	-11	15.6	14.8	0.76	14.9	17.6	-2.66
Matthew Dellavedova	57	54	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-1	-1	15.2	15.2	-0.05	15.4	17.5	-2.18
Timofey Mozgov	30	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	0	-3	13.7	15.7	-2.01	17.5	16.0	1.44
James Jones	7	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	0	-3	19.7	14.9	4.82	10.4	16.9	-6.43
J.R. Smith	94	93	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-3	3	15.7	12.4	3.36	16.8	14.1	2.72
Richard Jefferson	66	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-2	1	14.8	15.8	-0.94	16.4	16.5	-0.10
LeBron James	87	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-1	-1	14.9	16.1	-1.18	16.4	16.7	-0.33
Mo Williams	54	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.44	-1	-2	1	15.2	15.2	0.05	17.5	15.4	2.18
Kevin Love	80	82	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.63	-5	2	-7	15.7	13.8	1.93	17.1	14.5	2.57

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Carter-Williams	77	78	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.64	4	-1	5	16.2	17.1	-0.87	14.8	16.0	-1.18
Khris Middleton	80	82	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	-3	9	16.3	16.8	-0.47	14.5	17.2	-2.77
Greg Monroe	82	83	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	-5	13	16.7	15.8	0.89	14.7	16.8	-2.17
Jerryd Bayless	71	74	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.30	1	2	-1	16.5	16.3	0.29	15.2	15.2	-0.03
Greivis Vasquez	44	44	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	-1	5	16.1	16.7	-0.60	16.3	14.4	1.89
Jabari Parker	52	53	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	4	-5	17.0	16.0	1.02	18.2	12.5	5.72
Giannis Antetokounmpo	84	86	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	2	-1	16.7	15.4	1.31	14.9	16.3	-1.45
Johnny O'Bryant	10	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	2	-1	16.2	16.5	-0.27	11.4	15.6	-4.17
Miles Plumlee	4	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	4	-5	13.0	16.6	-3.58	7.0	15.5	-8.50
John Henson	41	41	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.20	-8	11	-19	16.0	16.7	-0.64	15.8	14.9	0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.6,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.62,0.71,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.8,0.79,0.91,0.85,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.85,0.72,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.68,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 125, PHI 126	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.55,0.57,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.67,0.92,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.85,0.96,1	90.1%
NJN 86, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.7,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.81,0.9,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.57,0.73,0.46,0.61,0.66,0.94,0.99,1	88.7%
SAC 98, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.83,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.86,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.92,1	87.2%