NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	86		Excitement	10.4 [45]		MVP	Josh Boone (NJN): +16.4%
Miami Heat	94		Comeback	1.6 [786]		LVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): -44.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Boone	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.02	0.14	0.00	5	57%	0.16	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.13
Courtney Lee	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.12	0.01	16	47%	0.14	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.13
Yi Jianlian	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	17	51%	0.16	3	-0.15	11	82%	0.11
Chris Quinn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	7	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	12	40%	-0.00	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Terrence Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.08,-0.06,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.05	-0.22	0.01	7	56%	0.07	4	-0.35	2	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	-0.45	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45	-0.17	-0.28	0.01	12	37%	-0.11	6	-0.34	8	75%	-0.03

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.11	-0.01	2	75%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
James Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.03	10	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,0.09,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	15	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	8	50%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	9	38%	0.11	2	-0.18	3	67%	-0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	24	47%	0.16	5	-0.23	5	100%	0.06
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	1	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.03	-0.20	-0.01	13	42%	-0.20	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	29.2	16.0	23.5	1.8	37.6	1.8	11.7	1.8	11.3	160.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +10.4%

NJN -30.8%

MIA +21.9%

MIA +54.9%

NJN -6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIA	NBA	NJN	MIA	NBA
this game	16.2	18.5	15.3	83.5	95.9	106.0
season	15.9	16.2		98.7	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.0		102.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	13.7	16.7	18.0	16.1	16.8	16.2
MIA	18.7	19.3	15.4	19.9	19.6	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	42	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.25	6	-14	20	14.3	17.5	-3.19	20.2	17.3	2.90
Chris Quinn	51	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-11	14	15.3	17.0	-1.74	20.4	16.6	3.78
Terrence Williams	51	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-4	0	16.3	16.1	0.16	17.7	19.2	-1.47
Yi Jianlian	86	83	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-5	2	16.8	12.8	4.08	18.8	17.1	1.70
Devin Harris	58	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	3	-14	16.4	15.9	0.47	17.6	19.6	-1.96
Courtney Lee	83	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-4	0	16.6	14.4	2.14	17.7	22.2	-4.55
Chris Douglas-Roberts	57	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.20	-8	0	-8	16.3	16.0	0.24	19.2	17.6	1.65
Brook Lopez	78	73	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.07	-19	11	-30	16.4	15.3	1.13	17.3	22.1	-4.85

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	62	65	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.43	6	2	4	17.6	20.1	-2.44	16.7	15.2	1.49
Yakhouba Diawara	8	8	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	18.5	18.5	-0.01	19.0	15.9	3.06
Shavlik Randolph	38	39	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	4	0	20.8	17.0	3.81	15.6	16.5	-0.90
Jamaal Magloire	31	32	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	5	-2	20.1	17.8	2.27	16.8	15.9	0.88
Mario Chalmers	70	73	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.26	1	7	-6	19.4	16.4	2.96	15.5	17.9	-2.48
Quentin Richardson	41	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	0	8	16.8	19.7	-2.89	18.1	14.8	3.25
Joel Anthony	67	71	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.07	5	3	2	17.8	20.1	-2.27	15.9	16.8	-0.88
Michael Beasley	60	64	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.10	4	4	0	17.0	20.8	-3.81	16.5	15.6	0.90
Carlos Arroyo	50	52	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.15	4	4	0	18.0	19.0	-0.96	16.3	16.0	0.27
Dorell Wright	55	59	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	11	-14	19.8	16.9	2.94	14.8	18.0	-3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.7,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.81,0.9,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.57,0.73,0.46,0.61,0.66,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 105, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.6,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.62,0.71,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.8,0.79,0.91,0.85,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.85,0.72,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.68,0.98,1	88.7%
MIN 140, OKC 149	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.7,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.91,0.79,0.78,0.91,0.54,0.25,0.29,0.43,0.53,0.46,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.99,1	88.7%
WAS 92, TOR 99	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,1	87.0%