NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	140		Excitement	13.0 [6]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +98.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	149		Comeback	73.6 [29]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (MIN): -32.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.88	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.75,0.95,0.95,1.06,1.07,1.03,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.89,0.88	0.28	0.61	0.01	27	73%	0.98	4	-0.10	16	75%	0.03
Anthony Tolliver	0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.17	0.28	0.00	13	79%	0.48	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.04
Jose Juan Barea	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.14,-0.08,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.07	0.01	22	53%	0.16	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.04
Derrick Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Brad Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	0.02	-0.13	0.00	10	55%	-0.03	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Luke Ridnour	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.32,-0.32	-0.12	-0.20	0.01	15	38%	-0.19	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.73,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.98,0.99	0.99	0.20	0.81	0.02	26	68%	1.10	3	-0.11	7	100%	0.08
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.36,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.32,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.49	0.49	0.24	0.26	0.01	28	69%	0.68	4	-0.19	9	100%	0.08
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.17	0.10	0.00	17	69%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.00	-0.04	9	67%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	69%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lazar Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	0.04	11	23%	-0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.7	1.7	24.5	16.0	25.0	2.6	36.3	1.8	18.8	1.5	13.0	164.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +78.5%

MIN -16.7%

MIN -12.1%

MIN -2.3%

OKC +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	OKC	NBA	MIN	OKC	NBA
this game	14.0	14.2	15.6	112.9	121.1	102.8
season	15.3	14.7		102.6	107.9
opponent	15.8	15.1		101.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	14.1	15.3	12.7	14.2	13.8	14.0
OKC	14.2	14.7	15.0	15.2	11.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Randolph	1	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-9	9	26.0	13.9	12.11	9.0	14.2	-5.24
Kevin Love	106	105	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-13	17	13.5	16.6	-3.01	14.4	12.7	1.73
Anthony Tolliver	92	92	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-9	9	14.0	13.8	0.19	14.3	13.8	0.48
Derrick Williams	54	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-3	-3	13.8	14.1	-0.27	13.5	14.7	-1.27
Brad Miller	7	8	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	1	-11	18.0	13.7	4.26	12.7	14.3	-1.55
Wayne Ellington	63	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-5	1	14.1	13.9	0.19	15.0	13.3	1.68
Jose Juan Barea	99	98	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-4	-1	14.1	13.6	0.53	14.2	14.3	-0.16
Wesley Johnson	35	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	1	-11	13.9	14.0	-0.14	13.9	14.3	-0.47
Martell Webster	50	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	8	-25	13.9	14.1	-0.17	13.8	14.4	-0.63
Luke Ridnour	102	101	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.48	3	-12	15	13.8	14.9	-1.07	14.6	12.2	2.45

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	63	66	1.22	-0.72	1.95	0.58	22	-13	35	13.8	14.6	-0.86	14.0	14.0	0.00
Derek Fisher	75	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.24	7	2	5	14.2	14.2	-0.02	14.9	12.7	2.24
Kevin Durant	112	113	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	7	-5	14.3	13.5	0.81	13.6	17.6	-4.01
Thabo Sefolosha	42	42	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.00	12	-3	15	14.2	14.2	0.03	13.8	14.1	-0.23
James Harden	92	93	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	2	5	14.0	14.8	-0.86	14.0	13.8	0.24
Russell Westbrook	107	108	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.34	-5	14	-19	14.4	13.0	1.37	13.7	15.6	-1.81
Kendrick Perkins	50	53	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	8	-7	14.6	13.9	0.75	13.2	14.6	-1.45
Serge Ibaka	56	54	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	15	-21	14.5	14.0	0.53	14.1	13.9	0.16
Lazar Hayward	18	18	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.47	5	4	1	13.1	14.4	-1.27	16.1	13.6	2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.7,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.91,0.79,0.78,0.91,0.54,0.25,0.29,0.43,0.53,0.46,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 86, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.7,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.81,0.9,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.57,0.73,0.46,0.61,0.66,0.94,0.99,1	88.7%
HOU 99, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.56,0.72,0.66,0.85,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.32,0.09,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.97,0.99,1	86.4%
DAL 115, BOS 117	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.67,0.73,1	86.4%