inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 115 Excitement13.4 [11] MVPKevin Garnett (BOS): +14.9%
Boston Celtics 117 Comeback1.6 [732] LVPO.J. Mayo (DAL): -50.3%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shawn Marion0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.010.090.011448%0.112-0.05580%-0.03
Chris Kaman0.040,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.07-0.000.02775%0.071-0.032100%0.01
Dahntay Jones0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.001055%0.0300.002100%0.01
Brandan Wright0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Elton Brand0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.03-0.00669%0.134-0.111100%0.01
Dominique Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vince Carter-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.020.00-0.03-0.001050%0.061-0.0800%0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.150,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.07-0.070.011242%-0.043-0.1100%0.00
Darren Collison-0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.240.00-0.250.001174%0.277-0.51560%-0.04
O.J. Mayo-0.500,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.33,-0.15,-0.09,-0.16,-0.24,-0.5,-0.5-0.07-0.400.031960%0.139-0.63250%-0.07

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.150.150.010.150.021550%0.171-0.022100%0.02
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.17,0.11,0.05,-0.04,0.10.100.080.040.022556%0.223-0.121182%0.07
Chris Wilcox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00583%0.102-0.052100%0.01
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.01558%0.0200.002100%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.00-0.011043%0.0200.003100%0.02
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.000.00745%-0.0000.00650%-0.04
Jared Sullinger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.030.0030%-0.061-0.0400%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.03-0.10-0.001642%-0.021-0.124100%0.03
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15-0.15-0.04-0.100.001457%0.115-0.2600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game25.12.834.217.627.02.838.01.816.82.521.9190.3
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.32.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL -44.9%
BOS +24.9%
DAL -24.9%
BOS +94.3%
BOS +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALBOSNBADALBOSNBA
this game14.515.015.498.398.3104.1
season14.514.9104.3101.2
opponent16.215.6101.7105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DAL12.717.013.316.513.214.5
BOS16.615.713.915.513.515.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Fisher70690.02-0.520.530.04-1-1014.314.7-0.3816.313.32.92
Elton Brand4141-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-2215.114.11.0314.715.2-0.57
Dominique Jones34-0.07-0.430.36-0.01-20-216.714.42.2712.715.1-2.36
Vince Carter7174-0.08-0.420.35-0.4011-132414.813.90.8914.416.1-1.77
Brandan Wright88-0.15-0.350.190.08-86-1422.613.98.7713.615.1-1.51
Chris Kaman4949-0.22-0.280.06-0.07-53-813.814.9-1.1315.714.61.16
Rodrigue Beaubois66-0.24-0.260.01-0.04-75-1219.014.24.7910.515.3-4.77
Darren Collison7578-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.498-101814.913.61.3014.416.2-1.77
Shawn Marion9294-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.465-71213.617.6-3.9515.214.30.90
O.J. Mayo107109-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.454-61013.821.2-7.3814.817.2-2.37
Dahntay Jones6363-0.800.30-1.10-0.36-1513-2814.514.40.0515.814.21.55

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Green53520.64-0.140.790.534-2615.414.80.6215.713.42.27
Kevin Garnett82800.52-0.020.530.346-41014.715.8-1.0515.312.72.56
Paul Pierce91900.490.010.480.4320215.015.2-0.2413.916.2-2.25
Rajon Rondo1091070.350.150.190.46-46-1015.114.11.0213.920.0-6.07
Jason Terry62640.300.200.100.068-61415.414.70.6714.015.1-1.10
Courtney Lee42360.070.42-0.350.0511013.615.8-2.1915.314.11.27
Jared Sullinger21210.020.48-0.46-0.073-1413.615.3-1.7217.113.93.22
Brandon Bass66680.010.49-0.480.0102-216.113.72.3414.015.1-1.12
Chris Wilcox3333-0.160.66-0.820.01-68-1416.114.61.4612.415.3-2.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.67,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 101, NOK 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.68,0.28,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.68,0.98,188.3%
UTA 85, HOU 890.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.92,0.84,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.72,0.57,0.58,187.9%
NOP 121, SAS 1160.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.63,0.59,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.59,0.42,087.8%