NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	101		Excitement	13.6 [8]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (NOK): +16.2%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	109		Comeback	56.8 [35]		LVP	Desmond Mason (NOK): -67.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.27,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.01	23	55%	0.29	3	-0.19	9	78%	-0.00
Charlie Bell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	10	70%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Reiner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Noel	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	4	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	23	50%	0.16	4	-0.25	10	80%	0.07
Andrew Bogut	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	10	48%	0.01	2	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Earl Boykins	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	12	38%	-0.15	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Charlie Villanueva	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.08	-0.17	-0.02	11	27%	-0.23	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.12	-0.00	10	55%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	62%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
David West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.05,0.11,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.01	16	52%	0.27	4	-0.28	8	87%	0.11
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.41,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.02,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.18	-0.02	-0.02	17	33%	0.04	5	-0.23	8	100%	0.09
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.03	-0.16	0.01	9	55%	0.03	3	-0.22	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.01	-0.29	0.01	11	50%	-0.25	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.04
Desmond Mason	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.5,-0.68,-0.68,-0.67,-0.67,-0.67,-0.67	-0.67	-0.09	-0.58	-0.00	24	44%	-0.49	4	-0.18	7	29%	-0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.5	2.7	26.6	14.8	22.2	2.6	39.8	1.0	13.7	1.8	16.9	166.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -29.7%

MIL -7.2%

NOK +119.0%

MIL -41.8%

NOK +9.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NOK	NBA	MIL	NOK	NBA
this game	15.2	16.7	15.4	92.7	100.0	104.5
season	15.2	16.0		105.3	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		104.4	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	14.0	15.1	17.5	12.8	17.5	15.2
NOK	16.6	16.2	17.6	17.2	15.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	84	82	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.01	6	-14	20	15.0	16.0	-1.02	17.0	16.0	1.00
Charlie Villanueva	77	74	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.29	-7	-1	-6	15.8	13.8	1.94	17.9	14.2	3.66
Ersan Ilyasova	16	16	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-3	-2	15.5	15.2	0.34	13.9	17.2	-3.33
Jared Reiner	16	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-2	-4	17.0	14.9	2.10	15.2	17.0	-1.75
Earl Boykins	72	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-11	14	15.0	15.6	-0.66	16.8	16.6	0.24
David Noel	33	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.34	3	-11	14	12.8	16.2	-3.43	15.5	17.3	-1.72
Mo Williams	95	95	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.28	-2	-6	4	14.8	18.0	-3.20	17.0	14.6	2.46
Charlie Bell	53	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	6	-20	15.8	14.6	1.24	15.9	17.4	-1.48
Ruben Patterson	90	92	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.46	-10	2	-12	15.8	12.5	3.32	16.7	16.5	0.22

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jannero Pargo	21	20	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.38	2	6	-4	17.5	16.5	0.94	16.9	14.8	2.13
Chris Paul	89	90	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	0	8	16.4	18.0	-1.57	14.7	17.8	-3.19
Bobby Jackson	47	46	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	3	2	17.1	16.4	0.76	15.2	15.2	-0.06
Rasual Butler	24	25	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	9	-10	18.0	16.3	1.70	15.8	15.0	0.71
Linton Johnson	35	36	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	-1	10	16.3	16.9	-0.68	18.1	13.8	4.25
David West	74	73	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	9	-10	16.9	16.3	0.68	13.8	18.1	-4.25
Desmond Mason	85	84	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.14	9	-1	10	16.3	18.0	-1.70	15.0	15.8	-0.71
Devin Brown	62	63	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	5	-2	16.4	17.1	-0.76	15.2	15.2	0.06
Hilton Armstrong	20	19	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	8	-8	18.0	16.4	1.57	17.8	14.7	3.19
Tyson Chandler	88	89	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.11	6	2	4	16.5	17.5	-0.94	14.8	16.9	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.68,0.28,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.68,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 122, DAL 125	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.76,0.54,0.55,0.22,0.14,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.14,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.64,0.76,0.84,1	88.5%
DAL 115, BOS 117	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.67,0.73,1	88.3%
PHI 113, NYK 119	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.8,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.55,0.37,0.55,0.74,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.27,0.46,0.46,0.63,0.84,0.98,1	88.2%