NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	113		Excitement	12.8 [8]		MVP	Arron Afflalo (NYK): +48.3%
New York Knicks	119		Comeback	10.7 [177]		LVP	Ish Smith (PHI): -51.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3	0.02	0.25	-0.03	9	52%	0.33	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.28
Nerlens Noel	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.11	0.00	14	56%	0.17	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.09
Robert Covington	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12	-0.03	0.15	-0.01	9	52%	0.19	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Jerami Grant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	82%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.00	0.05	8	73%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.05
Jahlil Okafor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.03	0.02	17	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Richaun Holmes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
TJ McConnell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.52	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.33,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.25,-0.13,-0.53,-0.59,-0.5,-0.52,-0.52,-0.52	-0.24	-0.29	-0.00	28	28%	-0.22	4	-0.29	2	0%	-0.11

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.27,0.39,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.24,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.48	0.48	0.12	0.38	0.01	17	61%	0.51	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.08
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.14	-0.01	4	100%	0.22	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.05	0.16	0.00	7	63%	0.25	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.07
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.07	0.00	0	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	-0.01	-0.00	11	73%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	4	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	11	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.23,-0.3,-0.36,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.31,-0.33	-0.33	-0.21	-0.14	-0.03	28	30%	-0.25	3	-0.07	7	43%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	21.1	2.3	27.7	15.8	24.4	2.4	39.5	2.4	19.5	2.4	20.4	177.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -22.1%

NYK +60.8%

PHI -10.6%

NYK +19.8%

NYK +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.7	16.2	14.9	99.1	107.2	105.1
season	14.8	15.6		97.7	103.5
opponent	14.8	14.2		106.1	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	14.5	14.7	17.3	12.3	14.8	14.7
NYK	15.5	16.0	14.6	19.0	16.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	29	28	0.33	-0.83	1.17	0.33	0	-6	6	13.1	15.3	-2.20	15.8	16.4	-0.61
Carl Landry	9	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-3	0	11.8	15.0	-3.18	15.8	16.3	-0.51
Ish Smith	85	84	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-4	2	14.3	15.9	-1.54	16.6	15.0	1.59
TJ McConnell	28	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-5	4	16.3	14.2	2.14	15.0	16.6	-1.59
Richaun Holmes	25	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-1	-4	15.6	14.4	1.19	13.5	17.1	-3.58
Jahlil Okafor	51	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	1	-8	15.6	14.0	1.69	15.3	17.0	-1.64
Nerlens Noel	92	88	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-3	0	14.9	14.0	0.82	16.8	14.0	2.88
Hollis Thompson	79	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.50	3	-9	12	14.6	14.9	-0.29	16.2	16.4	-0.15
JaKarr Sampson	36	31	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	6	-18	14.6	14.8	-0.19	16.4	16.2	0.15
Robert Covington	90	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.22	-8	2	-10	14.8	14.2	0.64	16.4	15.5	0.90
Isaiah Canaan	46	46	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.75	8	-14	22	14.2	15.1	-0.86	17.6	15.3	2.37

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Langston Galloway	45	48	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.66	5	1	4	15.6	16.7	-1.08	15.0	14.5	0.54
Carmelo Anthony	92	94	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-6	18	16.4	15.4	0.99	15.1	13.1	1.95
Kristaps Porzingis	66	68	0.46	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	-6	18	16.0	16.6	-0.56	14.9	14.4	0.54
Arron Afflalo	85	87	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	1	4	16.5	15.3	1.22	14.8	14.3	0.54
Lou Amundson	7	7	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	5	-4	14.7	16.3	-1.63	15.3	14.7	0.61
Robin Lopez	64	64	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	1	4	15.7	17.0	-1.28	15.4	13.8	1.62
Kyle O'Quinn	14	16	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	5	-4	16.4	16.2	0.13	13.4	14.9	-1.48
Lance Thomas	60	62	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.34	-9	15	-24	16.8	15.6	1.21	14.2	15.4	-1.20
Sasha Vujacic	12	12	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	8	-10	16.8	16.2	0.66	12.2	15.0	-2.75
Jerian Grant	14	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	5	-4	14.0	16.6	-2.57	15.1	14.6	0.49
Derrick Williams	30	30	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.02	-6	12	-18	16.6	16.1	0.44	13.7	15.1	-1.37
Jose Calderon	66	68	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.42	5	1	4	16.7	15.6	1.08	14.5	15.0	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.8,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.55,0.37,0.55,0.74,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.27,0.46,0.46,0.63,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.56,0.72,0.66,0.85,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.32,0.09,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.97,0.99,1	88.3%
MIL 101, NOK 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.68,0.28,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.68,0.98,1	88.2%
UTA 119, CHA 124	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.77,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.86,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.55,0.45,0.53,0.92,0.46,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.85,0.54,0.68,0.79,0.94,0.83,1	88.0%