NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	119		Excitement	12.2 [10]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +29.9%
Charlotte Hornets	124		Comeback	5.2 [286]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (CHA): -18.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Burke	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.25	0.08	0.20	0.02	23	51%	0.25	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.21	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.08	0.14	0.01	7	74%	0.23	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Raul Neto	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	8	44%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Gordon Hayward	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04	0.15	-0.07	0.04	24	67%	0.35	4	-0.31	6	100%	0.12
Jeff Withey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	17	31%	-0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.02	-0.16	0.00	11	50%	-0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.3	0.30	0.23	0.09	0.02	34	63%	0.40	3	-0.10	15	93%	0.14
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.13	0.17	0.01	8	86%	0.37	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.06
Cody Zeller	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.21	0.21	0.02	0.19	-0.00	9	54%	0.23	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.03
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	6	75%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	12	63%	0.17	3	-0.16	3	67%	-0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	12	42%	0.01	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	25.5	15.8	22.5	2.5	34.2	2.4	21.6	2.3	19.5	171.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +26.8%

CHA +28.6%

CHA +10.7%

UTA -10.1%

UTA -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHA	NBA	UTA	CHA	NBA
this game	16.4	15.8	14.9	110.2	114.8	105.1
season	16.3	15.1		104.6	105.5
opponent	14.8	15.0		103.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	14.1	19.6	17.1	17.8	13.7	16.4
CHA	17.2	15.4	15.6	15.7	14.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Neto	38	39	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-9	13	18.4	15.4	2.98	16.1	15.6	0.49
Chris Johnson	36	34	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.15	-1	-4	3	14.8	17.2	-2.40	14.9	16.2	-1.28
Joe Ingles	25	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-5	5	16.1	16.5	-0.46	14.0	16.4	-2.46
Trey Lyles	49	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-5	5	17.9	15.2	2.75	15.3	16.2	-0.89
Jeff Withey	20	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	4	-13	17.5	16.2	1.37	15.8	15.8	0.06
Rudy Gobert	80	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	0	-5	16.2	17.1	-0.91	16.1	14.9	1.25
Trevor Booker	61	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-2	-1	15.8	17.3	-1.53	17.0	14.4	2.60
Gordon Hayward	91	91	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.32	-5	0	-5	15.7	20.1	-4.37	15.9	15.3	0.59
Rodney Hood	70	72	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	-2	-1	17.5	14.4	3.15	15.7	16.0	-0.36
Trey Burke	70	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.46	-3	-2	-1	15.6	18.0	-2.37	15.7	15.9	-0.13

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	79	79	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.48	7	-2	9	15.7	15.9	-0.15	15.9	17.8	-1.90
Nicolas Batum	87	88	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.41	8	-3	11	15.5	16.9	-1.39	17.1	13.3	3.79
Marvin Williams	83	83	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	0	5	16.0	15.2	0.71	15.9	18.3	-2.40
Kemba Walker	88	88	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	1	3	15.8	15.7	0.05	15.7	19.6	-3.95
PJ Hairston	34	35	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	-5	15	15.5	15.9	-0.42	18.8	15.3	3.46
Troy Daniels	24	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	4	-3	15.4	15.9	-0.48	18.2	15.9	2.28
Jeremy Lin	60	59	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	7	-9	15.4	16.2	-0.83	16.4	16.5	-0.17
Spencer Hawes	29	28	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	11	-17	15.9	15.7	0.15	18.3	15.8	2.50
Frank Kaminsky	46	46	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.04	-7	12	-19	16.3	15.4	0.98	15.7	17.0	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.77,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.86,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.55,0.45,0.53,0.92,0.46,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.85,0.54,0.68,0.79,0.94,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 113, NYK 119	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.8,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.55,0.37,0.55,0.74,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.27,0.46,0.46,0.63,0.84,0.98,1	88.0%
UTA 115, HOU 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.71,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.75,0.78,0.9,1,1	87.0%
TOR 104, HOU 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.9,0.94,0.78,0.61,0.78,0.43,0.63,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.77,0.84,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.72,1	87.0%