NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	104		Excitement	14.1 [7]		MVP	Jeremy Lin (HOU): +36.5%
Houston Rockets	110		Comeback	1.8 [707]		LVP	Rudy Gay (TOR): -35.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	6	75%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.00	0.12	-0.01	16	50%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Buycks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	38%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Landry Fields	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.16,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	10	38%	-0.03	2	-0.11	6	33%	-0.19
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	9	48%	0.01	4	-0.15	3	67%	-0.03
DeMar DeRozan	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.09	-0.16	-0.01	25	36%	-0.24	0	0.00	11	91%	0.05
Rudy Gay	-0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.14,-0.42,-0.48,-0.55,-0.62,-0.62,-0.3,-0.36,-0.42,-0.42,-0.22,-0.35	-0.12	-0.22	0.01	37	37%	-0.30	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.36	0.36	0.11	0.25	-0.01	17	72%	0.55	5	-0.18	9	89%	0.02
Aaron Brooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.13	2	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	36%	-0.02	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.09	0.01	16	51%	-0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	5	8%	-0.06	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.11,0.08,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.11	-0.01	19	53%	0.14	6	-0.28	11	82%	-0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.13	0.01	12	50%	-0.12	3	-0.07	12	33%	-0.32

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	28.4	2.2	28.9	15.8	34.2	0.8	40.3	2.5	19.5	1.8	20.9	195.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +100.1%

TOR -17.3%

TOR -0.7%

TOR -45.0%

HOU +12.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	HOU	NBA	TOR	HOU	NBA
this game	16.4	13.9	15.1	92.0	94.0	105.2
season	15.9	14.3		107.2	109.5
opponent	15.2	15.1		105.4	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	16.3	16.7	16.0	17.3	15.5	16.4
HOU	14.3	13.4	11.3	15.4	16.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	57	60	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.24	12	-18	30	16.2	16.6	-0.43	14.7	13.1	1.54
Terrence Ross	50	54	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.12	6	-12	18	17.1	15.8	1.31	14.7	13.3	1.43
Kyle Lowry	90	93	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-7	8	16.5	15.9	0.65	15.0	9.9	5.08
Quincy Acy	19	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-3	0	17.8	16.1	1.75	9.9	14.7	-4.74
Tyler Hansbrough	18	18	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	0	-6	18.2	16.1	2.11	12.0	14.3	-2.26
Rudy Gay	96	99	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-6	6	15.9	18.9	-2.93	14.1	13.2	0.88
Amir Johnson	69	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	4	-14	15.8	17.3	-1.56	13.8	14.1	-0.32
DeMar DeRozan	103	107	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	4	-14	16.4	15.8	0.65	14.0	13.4	0.56
Landry Fields	30	30	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	7	-20	15.8	16.6	-0.85	14.5	13.7	0.83
Dwight Buycks	33	34	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.31	-7	1	-8	16.4	16.4	0.05	10.9	15.1	-4.23

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	57	53	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.15	16	-10	26	12.5	15.3	-2.78	16.2	16.5	-0.31
Jeremy Lin	94	89	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	-1	8	13.5	15.4	-1.89	16.5	16.0	0.44
James Harden	96	93	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	3	0	13.7	14.8	-1.09	16.1	17.8	-1.71
Patrick Beverley	49	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	1	4	15.0	13.1	1.90	16.3	16.5	-0.21
Dwight Howard	91	87	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	4	-2	13.7	14.7	-1.00	16.1	17.5	-1.39
Chandler Parsons	99	98	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	7	-8	14.1	13.2	0.88	16.6	15.1	1.45
Omer Asik	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	5	-4	14.7	13.5	1.19	16.7	16.2	0.48
Terrence Jones	51	50	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	10	-14	14.8	13.2	1.61	17.2	15.7	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.9,0.94,0.78,0.61,0.78,0.43,0.63,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.77,0.84,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 115, HOU 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.71,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.75,0.78,0.9,1,1	87.5%
MIA 95, BKN 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.79,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.81,0.63,0.33,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.83,0.54,0.69,0.84,0.99,1,1	87.3%
DAL 115, BOS 117	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.67,0.73,1	87.3%