inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 110 Excitement13.5 [7] MVPKeyon Dooling (MIA): +24.6%
Miami Heat 112 Comeback38.8 [38] LVPShaquille O'Neal (MIA): -44.3%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keith Van Horn0.200,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.2-0.030.250.032352%0.314-0.11475%0.01
Joe Smith0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1-0.020.120.001353%0.252-0.154100%0.02
Daniel Santiago-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00444%-0.0100.0010%-0.01
Dan Gadzuric-0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.03-0.060.00747%-0.051-0.05367%-0.01
Erick Strickland-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.0040%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Mo Williams-0.120,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.05-0.060.001647%-0.012-0.106100%0.04
Michael Redd-0.130,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13-0.04-0.10-0.012246%0.012-0.13250%-0.01
Desmond Mason-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.03-0.110.001155%-0.012-0.13978%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.25-0.050.29-0.00543%0.271-0.02450%-0.03
Wesley Person0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.05-0.01675%0.1300.0000%0.00
Damon Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.070.07-0.040.09-0.021547%0.123-0.0500%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.00380%0.051-0.044100%0.03
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.03-0.001258%0.111-0.1000%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.030.00250%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,-0.05,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.07-0.012435%-0.002-0.1600%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.24,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.170.01-0.170.011459%-0.083-0.094100%0.06
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.17,-0.22,-0.32,-0.32,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.42,-0.42,-0.44,-0.44-0.44-0.21-0.23-0.001442%-0.264-0.191729%-0.43
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game24.92.733.316.525.32.334.42.617.41.69.4170.3
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.41.917.41.917.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +36.5%
MIL -19.9%
MIA +22.0%
MIA +5.0%
MIA +6.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILMIANBAMILMIANBA
this game15.315.515.597.399.1104.0
season16.015.7104.4107.9
opponent15.515.0101.1107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIL16.015.915.015.314.215.4
MIA14.715.417.016.011.715.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Erick Strickland25250.11-0.610.720.023-5816.814.82.0315.515.6-0.08
Joe Smith8382-0.13-0.370.25-0.306-81415.115.7-0.5615.515.7-0.19
Dan Gadzuric4547-0.19-0.310.11-0.252-4616.014.71.2716.215.01.19
Desmond Mason7374-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.331-3414.915.8-0.8815.615.30.32
Daniel Santiago3129-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.02-119-2015.715.10.6716.115.40.71
Mo Williams9393-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.411-3414.717.7-3.0315.416.1-0.68
Keith Van Horn105106-0.540.04-0.59-0.46-31-415.117.9-2.8215.417.1-1.71
Michael Redd9898-0.720.22-0.94-0.46-97-1615.613.32.2215.714.61.08

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasual Butler1041030.83-0.331.170.637-51215.516.2-0.7415.513.12.37
Damon Jones87870.55-0.050.600.463-1415.715.10.5514.717.0-2.21
Udonis Haslem79800.430.070.370.4011015.814.90.9015.215.3-0.11
Eddie Jones70740.410.090.320.4102-215.914.90.9814.616.5-1.92
Keyon Dooling27270.410.090.310.3811014.715.8-1.1016.414.91.46
Shaquille O'Neal82850.100.40-0.30-0.086-41015.615.30.3415.016.0-0.99
Malik Allen36350.050.45-0.390.11-24-615.515.5-0.0215.015.4-0.33
Wesley Person30280.010.49-0.480.07-24-615.415.6-0.1917.114.62.46
Michael Doleac2725-0.130.63-0.76-0.04-35-815.315.6-0.2717.114.72.34
Shandon Anderson2321-0.170.67-0.83-0.14-13-414.315.8-1.5014.115.5-1.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.61,0.73,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.49,0.22,0.25,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.64,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.64,0.79,0.98,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 118, SAC 1230.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.78,0.86,0.98,187.3%
LAL 101, UTA 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.54,0.69,0.91,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.77,0.84,186.9%
DET 101, HOU 1060.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.69,0.63,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.78,0.84,0.54,0.68,0.89,0.99,0.99,186.5%