NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	118		Excitement	12.9 [7]		MVP	Metta World Peace (SAC): +44.1%
Sacramento Kings	123		Comeback	4.1 [324]		LVP	Francisco Garcia (SAC): -25.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.07	0.00	12	71%	0.27	2	-0.09	10	80%	0.04
Nate Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06	0.09	0.02	0.05	11	63%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.02	19	57%	0.21	2	-0.19	9	78%	-0.03
Jared Jeffries	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Fred Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,0.09,0.32,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	27	41%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.06
Malik Rose	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.00	-0.15	0.01	10	52%	-0.09	2	-0.07	9	78%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	0.00	8	22%	-0.15	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44	0.44	0.09	0.33	-0.02	16	65%	0.54	3	-0.10	11	36%	-0.09
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.21	0.01	0.00	21	70%	0.36	3	-0.13	19	84%	0.02
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.07	-0.01	12	42%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Justin Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.2,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	11	53%	0.20	4	-0.30	8	75%	0.11
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.13	0.00	9	55%	-0.02	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.08	-0.17	-0.00	6	29%	-0.20	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	34.3	15.4	26.6	2.7	36.0	1.6	14.1	2.5	26.3	188.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +85.5%

NYK -13.9%

NYK -10.2%

NYK -21.5%

SAC +10.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	15.9	14.6	15.4	102.6	108.8	105.7
season	15.7	14.9		103.1	105.6
opponent	15.0	15.2		108.0	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	15.0	15.2	19.0	16.4	14.3	15.9
SAC	14.4	14.8	14.6	16.3	13.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	52	51	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.23	5	-10	15	16.3	15.6	0.67	14.9	14.4	0.57
Nate Robinson	68	68	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.21	13	-18	31	15.6	16.4	-0.85	14.8	14.3	0.57
Fred Jones	33	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.30	-11	6	-17	12.9	17.1	-4.20	13.0	15.3	-2.26
Malik Rose	15	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-3	1	16.6	15.8	0.80	16.7	14.3	2.42
Jared Jeffries	23	22	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-2	-1	13.7	16.5	-2.76	16.6	14.1	2.52
Stephon Marbury	88	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-3	1	15.7	16.5	-0.75	14.5	14.9	-0.42
Jamal Crawford	96	94	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	1	-7	16.2	14.6	1.52	14.2	16.6	-2.43
Mardy Collins	37	36	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	0	-5	16.4	15.7	0.74	14.4	14.7	-0.33
David Lee	100	96	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.59	1	-6	7	16.1	14.7	1.35	14.5	15.4	-0.94
Eddy Curry	63	63	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.34	-15	10	-25	17.5	14.0	3.48	14.8	14.3	0.49

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	96	100	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.37	12	-7	19	14.2	16.8	-2.54	15.9	15.8	0.12
Brad Miller	72	75	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.42	10	-5	15	14.6	14.7	-0.11	17.2	13.5	3.61
Beno Udrih	87	89	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-5	15	14.2	15.9	-1.65	15.7	16.7	-1.07
Mikki Moore	41	40	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	2	1	16.9	13.3	3.52	16.3	15.7	0.64
Metta World Peace	104	104	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	2	1	14.8	12.9	1.87	16.1	14.1	2.01
John Salmons	78	80	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.35	-2	7	-9	14.2	15.5	-1.23	16.0	15.7	0.23
Quincy Douby	16	14	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	1	3	12.9	14.9	-1.95	13.4	16.3	-2.90
Spencer Hawes	28	28	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	5	-5	15.3	14.4	0.94	15.7	16.0	-0.25
Justin Williams	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	5	-5	1.0	14.7	-13.73	0.0	16.0	-16.04
Francisco Garcia	42	44	-0.78	1.28	-2.06	-0.34	-15	20	-35	15.0	14.4	0.58	14.5	16.7	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.78,0.86,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, BOS 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.45,0.1,0.27,0.54,0.62,0.79,0.55,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.77,0.83,1	90.1%
DEN 147, SEA 151	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.55,0.43,0.16,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.04,0.46,0.55,0.77,0.91,0.96,1	89.5%
MIL 110, MIA 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.61,0.73,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.49,0.22,0.25,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.64,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.64,0.79,0.98,0.96,1	87.3%