inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 96 Excitement12.3 [16] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +18.9%
Boston Celtics 105 Comeback10.7 [119] LVPJameer Nelson (ORL): -39.9%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.040.110.00275%0.1500.004100%0.06
Grant Hill0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.070.031756%0.132-0.072100%0.01
Trevor Ariza0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.03-0.00458%0.061-0.02475%0.01
Keyon Dooling0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.03-0.00375%0.102-0.062100%0.02
Darko Milicic0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
JJ Redick-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00243%-0.002-0.053100%0.02
Tony Battie-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.05-0.001734%-0.1200.00425%-0.06
Hedo Turkoglu-0.150,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.150.03-0.150.021461%0.134-0.27560%-0.03
Dwight Howard-0.350,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31,-0.31,-0.38,-0.38,-0.27,-0.27,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35-0.18-0.20-0.02940%-0.076-0.281233%-0.13
Jameer Nelson-0.400,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4-0.17-0.27-0.031627%-0.353-0.041100%0.01

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.050.180.042651%0.211-0.021182%-0.02
Delonte West0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.080.021357%0.141-0.034100%0.08
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.040.00955%0.0800.00250%-0.01
Allan Ray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.001100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.00250%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Leon Powe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Sebastian Telfair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.01-0.01440%-0.003-0.052100%0.01
Ryan Gomes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.00844%0.013-0.112100%0.01
Al Jefferson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.31,-0.31,-0.39,-0.29,-0.18,-0.14-0.140.03-0.150.021756%0.103-0.23771%-0.01
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.10-0.100.001225%-0.171-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game28.22.631.415.527.41.636.80.713.10.617.0174.8
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.01.917.41.917.4141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +30.1%
BOS +12.4%
ORL -20.5%
BOS +21.5%
BOS +6.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLBOSNBAORLBOSNBA
this game16.515.715.488.997.2104.5
season15.915.5103.4101.7
opponent15.315.7105.2103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ORL18.115.315.017.117.316.5
BOS16.914.115.619.812.715.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trevor Ariza29290.37-0.871.24-0.0113-223515.217.0-1.7217.215.22.03
Carlos Arroyo19190.31-0.811.120.049-182716.216.6-0.4219.115.04.11
Tony Battie70700.08-0.580.670.44-123-1517.614.43.2116.514.32.17
Darko Milicic540.07-0.570.63-0.023-121517.416.50.9411.715.9-4.13
Dwight Howard9495-0.20-0.300.11-0.283-121516.814.32.5416.311.54.76
JJ Redick2122-0.25-0.250.00-0.01-8-1-713.817.2-3.4013.716.2-2.51
Grant Hill8988-0.630.13-0.76-0.19-156-2117.113.83.2915.914.91.01
Hedo Turkoglu8687-0.700.20-0.90-0.32-134-1716.715.80.9115.317.3-2.00
Keyon Dooling4746-0.700.20-0.91-0.56-5-4-114.817.8-2.9614.216.9-2.70
Jameer Nelson8080-0.850.35-1.20-0.26-2011-3116.516.6-0.1414.918.1-3.22

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Allan Ray9120.65-0.150.800.3990910.916.2-5.2716.016.6-0.56
Delonte West94930.54-0.040.580.2211-21315.517.5-2.0415.622.2-6.62
Rajon Rondo81800.500.000.500.0316-72316.015.00.9117.114.72.41
Paul Pierce99990.470.030.450.2190915.517.9-2.3616.714.02.73
Gerald Green22230.340.160.170.39-211-1313.616.3-2.6811.018.0-6.99
Kendrick Perkins86840.220.28-0.07-0.0810-11116.213.82.4516.715.61.13
Leon Powe1112-0.020.52-0.540.01-110-1117.015.61.4221.215.95.25
Al Jefferson6364-0.040.54-0.59-0.0409-916.814.22.6117.914.43.53
Ryan Gomes4746-0.050.55-0.600.01-211-1315.016.3-1.3214.817.8-2.99
Sebastian Telfair2020-0.100.60-0.710.04-514-1916.015.60.4017.316.30.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.45,0.1,0.27,0.54,0.62,0.79,0.55,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.77,0.83,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 118, SAC 1230.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.78,0.86,0.98,190.1%
TOR 87, SEA 880.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.15,0.26,188.4%
DEN 147, SEA 1510.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.55,0.43,0.16,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.04,0.46,0.55,0.77,0.91,0.96,187.3%