NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	101		Excitement	11.4 [27]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +35.8%
Houston Rockets	106		Comeback	2.7 [656]		LVP	Luis Scola (HOU): -25.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.17	0.12	0.06	13	75%	0.25	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Kwame Brown	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Amir Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.13,-0.11,0.11,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.11	0.09	0.00	25	37%	0.14	2	-0.15	7	71%	-0.04
Jason Maxiell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Walter Herrmann	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11	0.01	-0.11	0.01	4	60%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Will Bynum	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.05	-0.15	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	2	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	17	31%	-0.20	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Antonio McDyess	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.05	-0.18	-0.01	16	44%	-0.08	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.11	0.22	-0.03	22	62%	0.47	2	-0.12	6	83%	0.03
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.08	0.02	8	70%	0.16	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.12	-0.01	24	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.42,-0.42,-0.35,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.05	-0.21	-0.01	14	47%	0.08	3	-0.34	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.4	3.7	30.1	18.7	25.0	3.7	35.4	2.5	16.2	2.4	14.3	175.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +65.7%

HOU +9.0%

DET -17.2%

DET -2.5%

DET -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	HOU	NBA	DET	HOU	NBA
this game	20.0	16.7	15.5	106.3	111.6	106.4
season	16.9	16.3		104.9	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.7		102.7	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	21.1	20.2	19.2	21.8	17.5	20.0
HOU	15.7	16.9	16.8	19.2	15.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	2	3	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-8	11	23.0	19.9	3.11	16.0	16.7	-0.70
Walter Herrmann	13	16	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.16	6	-11	17	17.6	20.3	-2.71	16.1	16.8	-0.73
Tayshaun Prince	81	80	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-5	5	20.5	16.9	3.55	17.0	15.1	1.83
Arron Afflalo	74	75	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-8	11	19.6	21.3	-1.77	16.6	16.9	-0.35
Kwame Brown	70	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-2	-1	20.0	19.8	0.21	17.3	15.1	2.18
Will Bynum	28	26	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	1	-7	22.5	18.9	3.55	18.0	16.2	1.83
Jason Maxiell	29	28	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	6	-17	21.3	19.4	1.90	17.1	16.5	0.67
Antonio McDyess	77	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	1	-7	19.8	20.8	-1.08	16.4	17.8	-1.43
Rodney Stuckey	83	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.39	-6	1	-7	19.5	23.4	-3.96	16.2	20.2	-4.09

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	57	57	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.49	12	-7	19	15.8	17.9	-2.08	20.2	19.6	0.54
Luis Scola	79	76	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.47	9	-4	13	16.0	20.2	-4.23	20.5	17.9	2.58
Shane Battier	65	64	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.44	10	-5	15	16.0	18.1	-2.08	20.3	19.2	1.18
Yao Ming	72	74	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-10	25	17.1	15.4	1.63	19.9	20.0	-0.12
Metta World Peace	77	77	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.40	5	0	5	16.3	18.1	-1.77	19.5	21.9	-2.38
Brent Barry	10	10	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	4	-3	19.0	16.4	2.60	20.6	19.9	0.72
Dikembe Mutombo	7	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	8	-11	17.3	16.6	0.66	22.8	19.8	3.07
Von Wafer	30	31	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.12	-6	11	-17	18.3	15.9	2.33	19.8	20.0	-0.27
Kyle Lowry	41	41	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.01	-11	16	-27	17.3	16.2	1.05	18.9	20.7	-1.81
Charles Hayes	29	31	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.16	-7	12	-19	18.3	16.0	2.31	19.2	20.3	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.69,0.63,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.78,0.84,0.54,0.68,0.89,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 107, MEM 113	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.61,0.63,0.83,0.91,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.72,0.54,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.92,1	87.7%
DEN 141, MIA 149	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.48,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.18,0.29,0.33,0.48,0.63,0.55,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.72,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.92,0.99,1	86.9%
MIL 110, MIA 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.61,0.73,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.49,0.22,0.25,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.64,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.64,0.79,0.98,0.96,1	86.5%