NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	107		Excitement	12.4 [19]		MVP	Vince Carter (MEM): +37.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	113		Comeback	9.7 [220]		LVP	Tony Allen (MEM): -41.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.35,0.29,0.24	-0.07	0.35	0.04	12	37%	0.29	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.12	0.00	5	67%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Gary Neal	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14	0.04	0.08	-0.02	15	61%	0.35	3	-0.20	11	73%	0.05
Cody Zeller	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.02	0.12	0.00	7	37%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.14	-0.15	0.00	21	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.04
Marvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.09	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Al Jefferson	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	21	36%	-0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.08	0.29	-0.00	4	100%	0.37	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.06	0.26	0.00	12	61%	0.35	2	-0.03	9	67%	-0.04
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	0.01	5	100%	0.23	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.04
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.09	0.00	7	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	69%	0.10	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Mike Conley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.02	14	56%	0.08	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.27,0.21,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.09	0.09	-0.02	20	41%	0.15	3	-0.13	6	50%	-0.06
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	5	21%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.01	6	53%	-0.08	6	-0.33	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	29.2	15.5	30.3	1.8	32.1	2.3	14.2	1.6	16.2	167.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +38.8%

CHA -4.6%

MEM +11.5%

CHA -5.3%

MEM +9.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MEM	NBA	CHA	MEM	NBA
this game	15.4	15.2	15.1	93.9	99.1	104.2
season	15.6	15.9		98.9	103.8
opponent	15.2	15.1		100.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	15.2	15.4	14.5	16.3	15.6	15.4
MEM	13.0	15.3	15.5	15.7	16.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	25	24	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.12	2	-8	10	14.3	15.7	-1.39	16.1	14.9	1.22
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	41	37	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.14	9	-15	24	13.2	16.6	-3.32	14.8	15.3	-0.47
Marvin Williams	46	49	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-10	14	15.4	15.4	0.00	14.5	15.7	-1.21
Brian Roberts	19	19	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-6	6	16.1	15.2	0.82	16.2	15.0	1.20
Lance Stephenson	57	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.15	-7	1	-8	15.9	14.8	1.16	14.6	15.6	-1.01
Gary Neal	60	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.26	2	-8	10	15.5	15.2	0.35	15.7	14.5	1.21
Kemba Walker	95	95	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.36	-6	0	-6	15.2	16.1	-0.82	15.0	16.2	-1.20
Gerald Henderson	70	73	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	8	-22	15.8	14.6	1.23	15.2	15.0	0.25
Al Jefferson	88	88	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.46	-7	1	-8	15.7	14.1	1.62	15.1	15.3	-0.14
Cody Zeller	69	67	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.45	-13	7	-20	15.4	15.2	0.20	15.4	14.9	0.49

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	74	75	0.96	-0.46	1.41	0.63	11	-5	16	15.1	15.3	-0.30	15.2	15.7	-0.53
Marc Gasol	70	69	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.38	13	-7	20	15.7	14.3	1.33	15.7	14.8	0.87
Courtney Lee	58	61	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.46	9	-3	12	14.7	15.6	-0.85	14.9	15.9	-0.97
Mike Conley	81	80	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.32	10	-4	14	15.4	14.5	0.90	15.4	15.3	0.11
Tony Allen	91	90	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	-2	10	14.8	16.5	-1.65	15.8	13.6	2.21
Quincy Pondexter	35	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	5	-4	16.4	14.6	1.79	15.9	15.1	0.77
Vince Carter	14	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	7	-8	15.8	15.1	0.72	13.4	15.7	-2.27
Kosta Koufos	38	37	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	10	-14	14.1	15.7	-1.66	14.8	15.6	-0.79
Beno Udrih	33	35	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.06	-4	10	-14	14.5	15.4	-0.90	14.9	15.6	-0.74
Jon Leuer	36	37	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	12	-18	15.0	15.2	-0.23	16.3	14.9	1.38
Tayshaun Prince	31	28	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	-0.27	-7	13	-20	14.7	15.3	-0.57	15.2	15.4	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.61,0.63,0.83,0.91,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.72,0.54,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, HOU 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.69,0.63,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.78,0.84,0.54,0.68,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	87.7%
CLE 80, SAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.26,0.27,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.95,1	87.0%
OKC 109, POR 114	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.72,0.97,1,1	86.8%