NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	80		Excitement	7.6 [278]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +9.0%
San Antonio Spurs	83		Comeback	3.3 [503]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -33.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	7	43%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	62%	0.04	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Mitchell Butler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Cedric Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	11	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Brevin Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	43%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	11	43%	-0.13	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.06
Bob Sura	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	7	28%	-0.11	2	-0.13	4	25%	-0.07
Shawn Kemp	-0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.35,-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	0.00	25	46%	-0.09	6	-0.25	7	86%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	2	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	75%	0.13	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.01	10	60%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
David Robinson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	13	67%	0.26	6	-0.25	7	86%	0.04
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	11	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.06	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	1	25%	-0.04	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	7	56%	0.03	4	-0.19	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	28.2	15.8	29.1	1.6	39.0	140.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +84.7%

CLE -2.4%

CLE -7.8%

CLE -25.7%

SAS +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAS	NBA	CLE	SAS	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.6	85.1	89.2	102.5
season	15.4	15.9		99.4	100.9
opponent	15.9	16.0		97.2	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.4	13.8	13.9	16.7	15.5
SAS	13.1	17.5	16.8	14.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Henderson	27	27	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.04	8	-11	19	16.2	15.1	1.07	16.4	14.9	1.45
Vitaly Potapenko	27	26	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-7	11	12.5	16.7	-4.18	17.4	14.6	2.83
Mitchell Butler	9	10	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-5	7	16.3	15.4	0.97	19.5	14.8	4.66
Shawnelle Scott	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-4	5	15.7	15.4	0.22	14.4	15.4	-1.00
Brevin Knight	45	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.32	3	-6	9	15.4	15.6	-0.20	16.2	14.5	1.77
Wesley Person	62	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	1	-5	14.6	17.2	-2.58	15.2	15.6	-0.43
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	47	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-7	11	16.9	14.0	2.83	15.8	14.8	1.01
Danny Ferry	40	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	6	-15	15.4	15.5	-0.10	14.4	16.0	-1.65
Bob Sura	75	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.38	-1	-2	1	16.1	13.1	2.95	14.6	18.2	-3.54
Shawn Kemp	68	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	3	-9	15.7	14.9	0.79	14.8	16.8	-1.95
Derek Anderson	64	61	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.30	-17	14	-31	15.2	15.9	-0.70	14.6	16.8	-2.29

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	43	46	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.51	10	-7	17	13.1	17.3	-4.14	17.5	13.5	4.09
Avery Johnson	74	75	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.45	9	-6	15	14.6	18.2	-3.54	15.8	14.1	1.69
Vinny Del Negro	75	78	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.51	6	-3	9	15.4	15.3	0.08	15.8	13.7	2.06
Sean Elliott	77	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	-3	9	15.0	17.0	-2.00	15.6	14.9	0.70
David Robinson	68	67	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.38	1	2	-1	15.3	15.5	-0.19	14.7	17.3	-2.63
Malik Rose	12	12	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	1	1	16.3	15.2	1.14	10.7	16.1	-5.40
Jaren Jackson	22	21	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	2	-1	16.4	15.0	1.40	13.7	16.0	-2.31
Will Perdue	32	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	8	-13	18.2	13.9	4.34	14.6	15.9	-1.31
Monty Williams	12	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.10	-7	10	-17	15.5	15.3	0.18	15.5	15.5	0.05
Carl Herrera	31	32	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.11	-2	5	-7	15.2	15.4	-0.18	16.7	14.8	1.82
Cory Alexander	19	19	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.04	-6	9	-15	18.2	14.6	3.54	14.1	15.8	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.26,0.27,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 105, DAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.15,0.28,0.55,0.45,0.78,1,1	91.4%
LAC 92, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.46,0.68,0.54,0.55,0.73,1	91.0%
WAS 93, CHH 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.18,0.19,0.33,0.53,0.46,0.76,0.73,1	90.6%