NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	93		Excitement	7.9 [225]		MVP	Courtney Alexander (WAS): +14.2%
Charlotte Hornets	95		Comeback	7.1 [377]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): -31.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Alexander	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.06,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.09	-0.02	18	57%	0.18	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Christian Laettner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	9	59%	0.07	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.06
Loy Vaught	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Vanterpool	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.01	5	75%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Jahidi White	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Popeye Jones	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.17	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	2	17%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hubert Davis	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17	-0.01	-0.15	0.02	13	59%	-0.06	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.32	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.32	-0.10	-0.21	0.01	18	47%	-0.22	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	9	73%	0.12	0	0.00	12	83%	0.03
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.09	-0.02	5	58%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.12	0.01	8	69%	0.01	2	-0.12	10	80%	-0.02
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	15	53%	-0.00	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	13	33%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.08
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	14	41%	-0.07	6	-0.18	1	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	33.0	16.0	24.1	1.8	32.7	133.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +51.8%

WAS -5.4%

WAS -4.4%

CHH +2.7%

CHH +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHH	NBA	WAS	CHH	NBA
this game	15.5	15.5	15.5	100.0	102.2	100.9
season	15.2	15.8		98.6	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.2		97.0	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.9	13.1	14.9	19.6	15.5
CHH	11.7	19.0	16.4	15.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	20	20	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.10	13	-15	28	16.5	15.2	1.32	17.9	14.8	3.11
Laron Profit	21	21	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.01	9	-11	20	13.9	15.9	-2.01	20.0	14.2	5.74
David Vanterpool	43	43	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.02	7	-9	16	13.8	16.9	-3.07	17.2	14.0	3.21
Loy Vaught	4	3	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-2	2	13.0	15.6	-2.57	22.7	15.3	7.40
Michael Smith	49	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	0	-2	14.4	16.6	-2.19	14.7	16.5	-1.83
Richard Hamilton	80	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-5	8	15.7	14.1	1.61	15.5	15.4	0.14
Christian Laettner	62	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.63	5	-7	12	15.7	15.1	0.60	16.1	14.2	1.93
Courtney Alexander	67	67	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.39	-10	8	-18	15.5	15.3	0.21	14.1	19.2	-5.06
Jahidi White	50	50	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.25	-20	18	-38	16.3	14.5	1.77	14.2	17.1	-2.91
Hubert Davis	69	68	-0.92	0.42	-1.35	-0.48	-15	13	-28	16.4	12.6	3.82	14.4	18.5	-4.07

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	71	72	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.54	8	-6	14	14.8	17.7	-2.85	14.6	18.5	-3.89
David Wesley	78	79	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.45	5	-3	8	15.3	16.7	-1.38	15.7	13.9	1.81
Elden Campbell	46	48	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-4	10	14.0	16.9	-2.89	17.5	13.3	4.17
Baron Davis	80	80	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.41	0	2	-2	15.8	13.8	1.93	15.4	16.0	-0.62
Eddie Robinson	38	37	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	-4	10	15.9	15.3	0.61	16.8	14.6	2.24
Hersey Hawkins	7	8	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	1	0	15.7	15.5	0.23	17.0	15.3	1.68
Jamal Mashburn	77	76	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.20	-6	8	-14	15.3	16.3	-0.97	14.3	20.8	-6.49
Jamaal Magloire	39	37	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	4	-6	16.2	15.0	1.16	14.0	16.4	-2.47
Otis Thorpe	29	28	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.09	-8	10	-18	18.3	14.2	4.13	16.7	14.9	1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.18,0.19,0.33,0.53,0.46,0.76,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 93, NOK 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.72,0.68,0.72,1	90.6%
CLE 80, SAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.26,0.27,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.95,1	90.6%
NJN 105, DAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.15,0.28,0.55,0.45,0.78,1,1	89.8%