NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	133		Excitement	9.0 [185]		MVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): +56.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	129		Comeback	1.5 [290]		LVP	Jevon Carter (MIL): -8.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.57	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.59,0.57	0.30	0.30	0.03	27	72%	0.57	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
LeBron James	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.24	0.06	0.17	-0.01	27	50%	0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Lonnie Walker IV	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	10	58%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Russell Westbrook	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	11	52%	0.08	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.08
Troy Brown Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	90%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wenyen Gabriel	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Nunn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52	0.52	0.21	0.32	0.01	23	70%	0.65	4	-0.13	11	73%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13	0.13	0.16	-0.01	0.02	20	70%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	7	81%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	11	71%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	13	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.09	0.01	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.8	26.9	14.7	29.6	3.5	36.0	140.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.2%

MIL -22.6%

LAL +11.8%

LAL +25.2%

LAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIL	NBA	LAL	MIL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.4	14.4	133.0	130.3	113.4
season	14.1	14.0		113.1	113.8
opponent	14.2	14.2		111.1	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	13.4	14.4	16.4	14.5
MIL	14.8	15.4	15.0	12.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	83	84	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-1	6	14.5	14.4	0.13	14.3	15.1	-0.84
LeBron James	77	78	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	-2	8	14.7	14.0	0.73	14.5	14.0	0.48
Russell Westbrook	60	58	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.41	4	0	4	14.0	15.2	-1.17	14.9	13.8	1.14
Austin Reaves	42	41	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-13	30	12.7	15.8	-3.11	16.4	13.0	3.40
Wenyen Gabriel	27	26	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.12	14	-10	24	14.1	14.7	-0.51	16.7	13.6	3.13
Lonnie Walker IV	70	71	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.37	-3	7	-10	14.8	13.9	0.93	13.8	15.9	-2.05
Kendrick Nunn	5	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	5	-6	12.4	14.6	-2.23	15.2	14.4	0.86
Patrick Beverley	54	51	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.13	-7	11	-18	14.1	15.0	-0.81	13.1	15.8	-2.74
Thomas Bryant	9	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	9	-14	14.2	14.5	-0.33	12.4	14.6	-2.23
Troy Brown Jr.	48	49	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.04	-10	14	-24	15.9	13.2	2.69	14.5	14.3	0.21

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	21	20	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.08	1	-5	6	15.8	14.1	1.76	14.6	14.5	0.16
George Hill	16	18	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-3	2	16.9	14.0	2.92	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Grayson Allen	59	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-5	6	13.1	16.3	-3.23	15.1	13.6	1.52
Khris Middleton	53	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-7	10	13.8	15.1	-1.32	15.3	13.6	1.67
Jevon Carter	43	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-1	-2	15.1	13.9	1.14	13.2	15.5	-2.34
Bobby Portis	47	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.18	-1	-3	2	14.6	14.2	0.41	12.6	16.1	-3.41
Giannis Antetokounmpo	76	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.42	2	-6	8	13.4	17.7	-4.26	14.6	14.1	0.51
Brook Lopez	60	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.25	-6	2	-8	15.0	13.5	1.55	15.5	12.9	2.54
Jrue Holiday	83	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	-1	-2	14.0	16.9	-2.92	14.6	14.3	0.30
Pat Connaughton	37	35	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.23	-13	9	-22	16.6	13.1	3.51	14.3	14.6	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.6,0.53,0.23,0.32,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.27,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.55,0.36,0.32,0.04,0	91.1%
DAL 93, CHA 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.26,0.27,0.36,0.49,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.53,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.01,0	90.9%
GSW 87, NYK 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.61,0.28,0.06,0.02,0	90.8%