NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	116		Excitement	7.2 [482]		MVP	Corey Kispert (WAS): +15.7%
Charlotte Hornets	117		Comeback	1.1 [996]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -32.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Kispert	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	0.01	8	87%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	6	86%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	14	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.09	0.02	14	51%	-0.08	4	-0.07	13	85%	0.03
Daniel Gafford	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-0.01	8	38%	-0.24	0	0.00	10	40%	-0.05
Bradley Beal	-0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.11,-0.32	0.09	-0.42	-0.00	24	59%	0.04	3	-0.36	8	87%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1	0.10	0.10	-0.02	-0.03	15	62%	0.11	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.02	6	80%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	10	59%	0.08	1	-0.01	9	78%	0.00
Theo Maledon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Kai Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.09	-0.04	21	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	9	45%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.13	-0.13	0.06	-0.15	0.04	21	51%	-0.13	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.4	26.6	14.4	30.6	2.5	31.9	137.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +12.4%

WAS -0.7%

WAS -14.2%

CHA +53.0%

WAS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.1	16.6	14.4	123.4	124.5	113.4
season	14.8	14.0		113.4	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.2		114.4	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.1	13.8	15.4	12.9	14.1
CHA	17.2	16.2	14.6	18.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Barton	40	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.26	8	-9	17	13.8	14.2	-0.40	17.3	16.1	1.19
Taj Gibson	4	5	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	0	-1	14.5	14.0	0.47	12.0	16.8	-4.84
Anthony Gill	10	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	3	-7	13.9	14.1	-0.17	14.0	16.9	-2.89
Daniel Gafford	46	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.55	16	-17	33	13.8	14.3	-0.49	17.6	15.7	1.86
Corey Kispert	58	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.62	17	-18	35	14.2	13.9	0.31	17.6	14.8	2.80
Monte Morris	53	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-1	1	13.9	14.2	-0.29	15.8	17.6	-1.83
Jordan Goodwin	26	26	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	10	-21	15.2	13.6	1.57	16.4	16.7	-0.28
Deni Avdija	19	19	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	16	-33	15.1	13.8	1.25	14.5	17.1	-2.65
Kyle Kuzma	65	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	3	-7	14.0	14.3	-0.32	16.8	16.1	0.75
Kristaps Porzingis	71	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-2	3	13.8	14.7	-0.91	16.6	16.6	-0.07
Bradley Beal	78	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.24	-10	9	-19	14.0	14.4	-0.46	16.5	17.2	-0.73

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Washington	74	74	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.42	2	-1	3	16.6	16.6	-0.02	13.9	14.6	-0.76
Mason Plumlee	70	69	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.41	0	1	-1	16.7	16.2	0.56	13.9	14.6	-0.69
Theo Maledon	36	37	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.11	17	-16	33	16.1	16.9	-0.77	14.9	13.5	1.34
Terry Rozier	82	81	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.59	-8	9	-17	16.9	14.7	2.10	13.7	16.3	-2.62
Jalen McDaniels	50	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	3	-5	16.7	16.5	0.25	14.0	14.1	-0.03
Bryce McGowens	40	40	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	-6	13	15.8	17.2	-1.37	14.7	13.6	1.17
Kelly Oubre Jr.	74	75	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.56	-11	12	-23	16.9	15.5	1.31	13.7	15.5	-1.78
Nick Richards	24	25	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	0	1	16.2	16.7	-0.56	14.6	13.9	0.69
Kai Jones	20	20	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	2	-3	16.6	16.6	0.02	14.6	13.9	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.91,0.75,0.85,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 94, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.84,1	93.6%
CHI 94, GSW 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.67,0.82,1	93.5%
DET 74, IND 79	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.71,0.45,0.74,1	93.4%