NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	113		Excitement	9.5 [128]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DAL): +33.1%
Dallas Mavericks	116		Comeback	2.5 [466]		LVP	Christian Wood (DAL): -29.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevon Looney	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Lamb	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	6	85%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jonathan Kuminga	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.01	8	70%	0.18	2	-0.09	4	25%	-0.08
Stephen Curry	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.2,0.2,0.07	0.10	-0.04	-0.02	24	59%	0.28	4	-0.21	6	83%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
JaMychal Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	2	60%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	43%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Klay Thompson	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	28%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.08	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.09
Draymond Green	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.09	-0.01	10	60%	0.11	3	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.38,0.33	0.33	0.16	0.18	0.01	16	65%	0.33	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.31	0.31	0.10	0.21	-0.01	27	59%	0.45	5	-0.14	15	60%	-0.06
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.14	0.02	7	93%	0.28	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.03	0.04	-0.09	12	50%	0.12	3	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	2	150%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	12	15%	-0.20	2	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	3.3	28.3	15.6	32.5	3.4	39.4	151.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +39.8%

GSW -17.0%

GSW -7.9%

DAL +37.0%

GSW -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DAL	NBA	GSW	DAL	NBA
this game	12.0	15.3	14.4	107.6	109.4	113.4
season	13.9	15.2		114.1	115.5
opponent	14.3	14.1		115.8	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.0	12.3	11.7	12.2	12.0
DAL	13.8	16.0	15.4	16.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Lamb	34	32	0.45	-0.95	1.39	0.07	13	-16	29	13.4	11.4	2.09	16.7	14.6	2.14
Donte DiVincenzo	41	42	0.33	-0.83	1.16	-0.11	15	-18	33	10.8	12.8	-2.05	14.0	16.1	-2.12
Jonathan Kuminga	59	60	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.36	21	-24	45	10.9	13.5	-2.58	14.8	15.8	-1.05
Jordan Poole	62	66	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.42	14	-17	31	10.6	14.1	-3.46	15.0	15.7	-0.76
JaMychal Green	24	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-1	-1	9.2	12.9	-3.60	11.5	16.3	-4.82
Kevon Looney	36	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	12	-27	14.1	11.0	3.13	16.2	14.7	1.51
Draymond Green	67	67	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.54	-5	2	-7	12.9	10.6	2.31	16.3	13.5	2.80
Stephen Curry	84	85	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.34	-12	9	-21	11.9	12.5	-0.62	14.8	17.2	-2.41
Klay Thompson	62	63	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.25	-21	18	-39	13.0	10.7	2.25	16.1	14.0	2.03
Andrew Wiggins	57	57	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.24	-23	20	-43	12.7	11.2	1.51	15.4	15.1	0.28

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Doncic	86	86	1.01	-0.51	1.52	0.36	22	-19	41	14.9	16.9	-2.03	12.2	11.3	0.93
Tim Hardaway Jr.	64	64	0.94	-0.44	1.39	0.39	19	-16	35	15.8	14.4	1.37	13.2	10.1	3.09
Dorian Finney-Smith	62	59	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-9	21	16.0	14.2	1.80	13.1	10.7	2.33
Maxi Kleber	59	58	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.64	-6	9	-15	14.5	16.2	-1.72	10.7	13.7	-3.03
Josh Green	64	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.65	-9	12	-21	14.3	16.7	-2.34	10.5	14.3	-3.84
Dwight Powell	37	38	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.29	13	-10	23	15.5	15.1	0.36	14.2	10.8	3.38
Spencer Dinwiddie	45	45	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	1	1	17.6	13.6	4.00	13.5	10.9	2.63
Davis Bertans	16	17	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.08	-8	11	-19	14.4	15.4	-1.04	12.7	11.9	0.81
Reggie Bullock	38	36	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	0.03	-14	17	-31	14.0	16.0	-2.00	9.1	13.6	-4.48
Christian Wood	59	59	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.07	-16	19	-35	15.4	15.1	0.27	11.5	12.7	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.47,0.42,0.58,0.64,0.42,0.39,0.61,0.79,0.33,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 102, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.69,0.73,1	90.2%
GSW 105, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.47,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.74,1	89.9%
SEA 88, PHX 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.31,0.74,1	89.6%