NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	88		Excitement	9.1 [124]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +37.8%
Phoenix Suns	89		Comeback	2.3 [523]		LVP	Anfernee Hardaway (PHX): -24.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.38	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.38	0.11	0.28	0.01	15	73%	0.44	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Predrag Drobnjak	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.02	18	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	5	30%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11	0.00	-0.12	0.00	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17	-0.01	-0.16	-0.00	14	46%	-0.07	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	18	32%	-0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.32,0.3	0.30	-0.14	0.42	-0.01	12	31%	0.44	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.02	23	61%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	0.00	5	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Scott Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	79%	0.07	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.09	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	4	30%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24	-0.24	0.03	-0.29	-0.02	16	62%	0.08	4	-0.32	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.0	26.3	15.7	23.2	2.4	31.0	123.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +62.3%

PHX +2.7%

PHX +9.2%

SEA -26.8%

PHX +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHX	NBA	SEA	PHX	NBA
this game	18.1	16.1	15.5	103.5	107.2	101.6
season	16.5	15.0		101.7	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.6		100.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.5	18.5	18.0	20.0	18.1
PHX	14.1	18.4	16.3	16.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	39	39	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.08	10	-11	21	19.9	16.7	3.20	17.2	15.2	1.95
Kenny Anderson	40	41	0.25	-0.75	0.99	-0.08	11	-12	23	19.1	17.2	1.91	16.4	15.8	0.58
Brent Barry	39	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.26	-10	9	-19	16.9	19.2	-2.25	14.8	17.2	-2.45
Predrag Drobnjak	55	53	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	3	-7	17.7	19.0	-1.28	15.6	17.1	-1.53
Desmond Mason	56	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.66	12	-13	25	17.8	18.9	-1.09	16.4	15.4	1.00
Reggie Evans	24	22	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	12	-25	17.8	18.3	-0.49	15.3	16.4	-1.15
Rashard Lewis	72	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-1	1	18.2	18.0	0.17	16.3	15.2	1.09
Ansu Sesay	1	0	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.54	-2	1	-3	0.0	18.4	-18.36	0.0	16.1	-16.12
Vitaly Potapenko	30	29	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.70	1	-2	3	19.0	17.7	1.28	17.3	15.5	1.83
Gary Payton	69	68	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.43	-10	9	-19	17.9	19.1	-1.13	15.8	17.4	-1.56

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	54	58	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.54	6	-5	11	16.3	15.8	0.45	18.2	18.1	0.04
Stephon Marbury	68	70	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.46	8	-7	15	16.0	16.7	-0.75	18.4	16.9	1.55
Anfernee Hardaway	62	65	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.46	6	-5	11	16.0	16.4	-0.41	17.9	18.8	-0.93
Amar'e Stoudemire	56	60	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.32	10	-9	19	15.8	16.8	-1.03	18.9	16.4	2.47
Shawn Marion	77	78	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.43	6	-5	11	15.9	18.3	-2.39	18.2	17.6	0.62
Jake Tsakalidis	24	22	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	3	-5	15.8	16.2	-0.40	17.1	18.5	-1.36
Dan Langhi	5	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	4	-7	17.8	16.0	1.79	16.2	18.2	-1.98
Scott Williams	3	3	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	8	-15	24.7	15.8	8.87	11.0	18.4	-7.40
Casey Jacobsen	24	24	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.06	-6	7	-13	15.7	16.3	-0.64	18.6	18.0	0.62
Joe Johnson	42	41	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.06	-13	14	-27	16.7	15.6	1.11	17.8	18.4	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.31,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 113, ORL 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.77,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.84,1	90.9%
PHX 106, NOP 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.53,0.41,0.19,0.39,0.47,0.21,0.22,0.73,1	90.0%
PHI 98, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	89.8%