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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 102 Excitement9.1 [124] MVPKevin Love (MIN): +29.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves 104 Comeback2.1 [657] LVPRudy Gay (SAC): -21.0%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Williams0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.16,0.160.100.070.011565%0.323-0.161080%0.04
Isaiah Thomas0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.040.10-0.030.032161%0.212-0.17250%-0.02
Ray McCallum0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00564%0.081-0.051100%0.01
Aaron Gray0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00367%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Reggie Evans0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.00-0.00667%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Travis Outlaw-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.02-0.00743%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ben McLemore-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.01450%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jason Thompson-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.07-0.00640%-0.003-0.13367%-0.00
Quincy Acy-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17-0.05-0.120.0030%-0.1700.0000%0.00
Rudy Gay-0.210,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21-0.06-0.15-0.001542%-0.023-0.19367%-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Love0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.05,-0.01,0.29,0.290.290.100.220.031570%0.444-0.14771%-0.03
Robbie Hummel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.050.00460%0.0800.002100%0.03
Kevin Martin0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.05,0.080.080.09-0.010.012057%0.142-0.0714100%0.11
Ricky Rubio0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.060.060.020.050.01852%0.081-0.02771%0.00
Corey Brewer0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.00956%0.0300.0000%0.00
Gorgui Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.010.010.03-0.020.00760%0.041-0.03633%-0.10
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.03-0.01636%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chase Budinger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Dante Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.07-0.11-0.00714%-0.1800.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.429.615.424.41.738.0135.8
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +4.9%
MIN +11.9%
SAC -21.9%
MIN +50.6%
MIN +4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACMINNBASACMINNBA
this game15.713.715.1104.1106.1105.2
season15.414.6104.5107.3
opponent14.514.7104.7107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC15.818.214.814.515.7
MIN13.613.315.212.613.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Travis Outlaw50490.21-0.710.91-0.2014-163015.815.60.2613.713.70.00
Ray McCallum37380.13-0.630.75-0.056-81416.615.11.5014.213.30.92
Jason Thompson60600.12-0.620.75-0.2011-132416.214.91.3814.512.42.05
Quincy Acy44450.01-0.510.52-0.4616-183414.716.6-1.9113.413.9-0.51
Derrick Williams5757-0.23-0.270.04-0.5511-132415.116.6-1.5814.013.20.74
Aaron Gray3939-0.23-0.270.030.12-1210-2215.815.70.0914.413.21.22
Reggie Evans3738-0.43-0.07-0.350.13-1917-3617.214.82.3713.114.0-0.93
Isaiah Thomas7270-0.540.04-0.57-0.45-31-415.017.8-2.8513.314.6-1.26
Rudy Gay5654-0.710.21-0.92-0.33-1311-2415.516.0-0.4612.814.7-1.95
Ben McLemore3840-0.830.33-1.16-0.22-2119-4016.215.40.8513.413.8-0.38

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ricky Rubio70700.67-0.170.840.2614-122613.514.2-0.7616.015.10.90
Kevin Love79800.64-0.140.790.389-71613.514.4-0.9315.516.8-1.30
Corey Brewer68680.63-0.130.760.379-71613.913.20.6315.915.40.50
Robbie Hummel22230.61-0.110.720.523-1411.914.2-2.2813.816.3-2.52
Kevin Martin80820.340.160.170.166-41013.813.10.6915.815.10.78
Gorgui Dieng75740.230.27-0.04-0.008-61414.012.71.3316.413.72.71
Jose Juan Barea36350.140.36-0.220.35-79-1614.013.50.5215.615.8-0.22
Luc Mbah a Moute1313-0.140.64-0.770.07-79-1612.713.8-1.1315.215.8-0.65
Chase Budinger98-0.180.68-0.850.09-911-2014.113.60.4814.715.8-1.05
Dante Cunningham3837-0.450.95-1.400.02-1618-3414.213.40.7915.615.8-0.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.69,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 91, WAS 940.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.86,0.76,0.74,192.3%
NYK 97, DET 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.81,0.84,0.69,0.74,191.8%
LAL 101, UTA 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.84,191.4%