inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 110 Excitement8.0 [336] MVPAlec Burks (DET): +22.7%
Denver Nuggets 108 Comeback1.6 [417] LVPJamal Murray (DEN): -25.7%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alec Burks0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.230.070.16-0.001366%0.323-0.10683%0.05
Kevin Knox II0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.110.110.001177%0.241-0.0200%0.00
Marvin Bagley III0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.100.03-0.01887%0.161-0.0100%0.00
Isaiah Livers0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.040.00383%0.0800.0000%0.00
Hamidou Diallo0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.04-0.00560%0.0600.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.02-0.02831%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jalen Duren-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.030.00367%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic-0.090,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.18,-0.090.01-0.060.041755%0.003-0.10683%0.02
Killian Hayes-0.120,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.040.00945%-0.024-0.102100%0.01
Jaden Ivey-0.190,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.13-0.07-0.011132%-0.084-0.1100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.140.140.110.040.021672%0.295-0.151164%-0.06
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.060.011050%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00667%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.020.020.08-0.030.031068%0.073-0.05540%0.01
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.030.011555%0.061-0.043100%0.02
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.010.00961%0.072-0.0700%0.00
Christian Braun00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeAndre Jordan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.02217%-0.011-0.02250%-0.02
Bones Hyland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Davon Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.0010%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.26-0.26-0.10-0.120.041234%-0.182-0.08580%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.60.638.614.724.01.834.9137.2
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +29.4%
DET +14.1%
DEN -5.5%
DET +13.8%
DEN -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETDENNBADETDENNBA
this game14.814.914.4113.4111.3113.4
season14.614.7109.6116.6
opponent14.514.2112.3117.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET14.415.015.514.414.8
DEN14.416.314.514.414.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Duren51520.82-0.321.140.4114-122614.115.6-1.5315.813.81.99
Kevin Knox II50500.80-0.301.100.4512-102214.215.5-1.2915.614.11.55
Cory Joseph36350.64-0.140.780.408-61414.215.1-0.9315.914.31.56
Alec Burks40400.50-0.000.500.278-61414.914.70.2115.914.21.77
Hamidou Diallo30310.440.060.380.0912-102214.215.1-0.8716.714.02.73
Bojan Bogdanovic72710.110.39-0.290.31-79-1615.014.20.8714.117.2-3.10
Killian Hayes5658-0.100.60-0.710.07-68-1415.314.11.2214.315.7-1.39
Isaiah Livers5049-0.170.67-0.830.10-911-2015.514.11.3514.315.5-1.17
Jaden Ivey5354-0.240.74-0.970.06-1012-2214.814.70.1013.916.1-2.17
Marvin Bagley III4745-0.300.80-1.100.05-1214-2615.314.40.9213.815.8-1.99

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Gordon58600.17-0.670.85-0.4421-234413.516.9-3.3615.313.91.43
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope6059-0.03-0.470.44-0.3511-132414.315.9-1.5814.814.70.11
Jamal Murray7171-0.04-0.460.42-0.4213-152814.515.9-1.4214.715.1-0.37
Michael Porter Jr.6770-0.05-0.450.41-0.5216-183413.917.1-3.2015.413.32.09
Nikola Jokic7477-0.09-0.410.32-0.4713-152814.217.2-3.0615.412.72.65
Christian Braun76-0.14-0.360.220.07-75-1217.914.73.2015.814.71.10
Bones Hyland1816-0.25-0.25-0.010.10-1210-2217.514.33.2114.714.8-0.14
Davon Reed1717-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.08-86-1416.614.52.1313.515.1-1.55
DeAndre Jordan2320-0.41-0.09-0.320.03-1513-2817.214.23.0612.715.4-2.65
Bruce Brown5151-0.660.16-0.82-0.10-1917-3615.514.21.3114.714.9-0.17
Zeke Nnaji3938-0.690.19-0.88-0.02-2321-4416.913.53.3613.615.6-2.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.35,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.2,0.2,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.22,0.33,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 99, DAL 970.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.06,0.02,093.5%
CHI 109, NOH 1060.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.39,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.16,092.7%
PHI 85, GSW 780.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.18,0.08,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.16,0.31,0.08,092.1%