NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	99		Excitement	6.8 [497]		MVP	Reggie Bullock (DAL): +16.0%
Dallas Mavericks	97		Comeback	1.6 [318]		LVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL): -11.8%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terance Mann	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	15	64%	0.18	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.1,0.14	0.04	0.11	0.02	21	51%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.07
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	18	54%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	61%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	8	61%	0.09	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Covington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Bullock	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	-0.01	12	71%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	17	58%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Trey Burke	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.05	0.04	33	57%	0.19	7	-0.20	13	69%	-0.01
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	4	30%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	1.7	25.2	14.7	25.2	2.5	37.6	135.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +51.5%

DAL -5.1%

DAL -12.9%

LAC +8.8%

LAC +7.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.3	14.5	106.5	102.1	110.8
season	14.6	15.6		108.8	112.4
opponent	14.5	14.5		109.2	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.2	12.7	16.8	16.7	15.4
DAL	15.4	17.2	13.9	14.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Coffey	59	61	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.37	9	-7	16	15.0	16.0	-0.95	15.3	15.3	0.01
Robert Covington	24	25	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-10	22	12.6	16.3	-3.75	15.9	15.1	0.82
Isaiah Hartenstein	32	31	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	-9	20	13.5	16.3	-2.84	15.3	15.3	0.02
Luke Kennard	37	39	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	-9	20	13.5	16.6	-3.12	15.6	15.1	0.54
Reggie Jackson	77	79	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.47	-4	6	-10	15.6	14.0	1.65	15.0	16.8	-1.85
Terance Mann	65	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	3	-4	16.4	13.0	3.44	15.7	14.2	1.54
Marcus Morris Sr.	71	72	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.34	-10	12	-22	16.2	12.8	3.40	14.8	16.7	-1.82
Ivica Zubac	61	63	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.27	-10	12	-22	16.3	13.5	2.84	15.5	14.9	0.55
Nicolas Batum	39	39	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	10	-18	15.6	15.2	0.47	14.9	15.5	-0.64

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	76	75	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.37	14	-16	30	15.0	16.2	-1.17	15.9	13.3	2.52
Trey Burke	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-1	0	15.2	15.3	-0.08	14.0	15.4	-1.43
Dwight Powell	54	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-6	10	15.9	14.5	1.43	14.9	15.9	-1.01
Luka Doncic	77	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.44	8	-10	18	15.1	16.2	-1.17	15.5	14.9	0.59
Jalen Brunson	74	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.47	5	-7	12	15.6	14.2	1.33	16.1	12.1	4.05
Frank Ntilikina	24	24	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.01	-13	11	-24	15.6	15.2	0.47	14.2	15.8	-1.62
Josh Green	45	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	11	-24	14.2	16.2	-1.96	13.9	16.6	-2.75
Maxi Kleber	43	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	5	-12	14.2	16.2	-1.94	15.9	14.9	1.01
Reggie Bullock	77	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.38	-7	5	-12	16.1	11.7	4.38	15.3	15.6	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 109, NOH 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.39,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.16,0	93.9%
MIN 93, DEN 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.25,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.8%
UTA 89, LAC 73	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%