NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	113		Excitement	8.5 [253]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +90.7%
Golden State Warriors	116		Comeback	11.0 [312]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -14.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.19,0.28,0.28	0.13	0.16	0.00	16	62%	0.28	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
De'Aaron Fox	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	17	61%	0.16	2	-0.05	12	83%	0.04
Kevin Huerter	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	9	61%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.01	11	55%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.06	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	15	50%	0.11	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.05
Terence Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chimezie Metu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.66,0.91	0.91	0.43	0.52	0.04	24	85%	0.91	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.11	-0.01	17	69%	0.36	4	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.07	-0.00	7	58%	0.14	5	-0.12	5	60%	-0.02
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	4	22%	-0.03	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	18	42%	-0.05	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	32.9	14.7	27.3	1.8	37.0	141.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +70.6%

SAC -14.9%

GSW +10.8%

SAC -17.9%

GSW +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	GSW	NBA	SAC	GSW	NBA
this game	13.9	13.6	14.4	107.6	110.5	113.4
season	13.5	13.9		117.3	114.1
opponent	14.1	14.8		112.6	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.3	13.5	14.7	14.0	13.9
GSW	12.9	12.6	14.1	14.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chimezie Metu	30	28	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.19	13	-16	29	13.4	14.1	-0.69	16.0	12.7	3.36
Trey Lyles	9	8	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.08	6	-9	15	11.0	14.1	-3.13	15.9	13.4	2.49
Davion Mitchell	44	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-1	-1	15.1	13.0	2.08	14.3	13.0	1.33
Harrison Barnes	54	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	7	-17	13.9	13.9	-0.01	11.3	16.0	-4.76
Malik Monk	64	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.53	12	-15	27	13.8	14.0	-0.19	14.7	11.9	2.86
Terence Davis	38	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-2	1	15.1	13.2	1.87	14.2	13.2	0.91
Keegan Murray	59	62	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	1	-5	13.2	14.7	-1.45	13.8	13.2	0.61
De'Aaron Fox	81	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.52	0	-3	3	13.2	16.0	-2.78	13.9	12.3	1.60
Kevin Huerter	71	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	10	-23	14.2	13.2	0.92	12.6	15.6	-2.94
Domantas Sabonis	75	77	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.23	-16	13	-29	14.1	13.4	0.69	12.7	16.0	-3.36

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	85	84	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.37	20	-17	37	13.1	15.7	-2.63	13.9	13.6	0.30
Draymond Green	82	81	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.30	19	-16	35	12.6	17.0	-4.33	14.1	13.1	1.00
Andrew Wiggins	90	89	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.33	16	-13	29	13.0	17.1	-4.08	13.9	13.4	0.50
Klay Thompson	85	85	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.48	10	-7	17	13.4	14.1	-0.65	13.8	14.3	-0.55
Kevon Looney	45	44	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-5	13	14.7	12.7	1.99	14.2	13.6	0.56
Moses Moody	18	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.11	-1	4	-5	12.5	13.8	-1.29	15.2	13.6	1.65
Anthony Lamb	31	33	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.00	-7	10	-17	15.2	12.9	2.35	14.0	13.8	0.16
Jordan Poole	47	47	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.10	-11	14	-25	14.0	13.2	0.81	13.0	14.5	-1.51
Jonathan Kuminga	19	19	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.16	-17	20	-37	14.4	13.4	1.04	12.2	14.2	-2.07
Ty Jerome	23	24	-0.57	1.07	-1.65	0.07	-22	25	-47	16.3	12.8	3.50	14.1	13.8	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.25,0.18,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 117, MEM 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.28,0.25,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.37,0.24,0.85,1	91.7%
POR 101, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.92,1	90.4%
SAS 84, PHX 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.42,1	90.2%