NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	117		Excitement	8.0 [261]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +41.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	124		Comeback	8.0 [170]		LVP	Brad Miller (SAC): -14.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.13	0.14	-0.01	9	76%	0.31	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.08
Mike Bibby	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15	0.12	0.08	0.04	18	64%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	16	51%	0.07	1	-0.03	9	56%	-0.04
Francisco Garcia	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	133%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0,0	0.08	-0.08	-0.01	18	59%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.00	8	29%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	11	27%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.05,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.20	0.23	0.02	17	85%	0.52	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.06
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.41	0.41	0.17	0.26	0.02	7	88%	0.47	2	-0.07	11	82%	0.05
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	77%	0.11	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Alexander Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	19	64%	0.20	7	-0.20	4	75%	-0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.04	0.03	10	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	37%	-0.00	2	-0.05	7	43%	-0.05
Lawrence Roberts	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.7	25.3	16.4	27.2	1.6	41.5	141.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +52.7%

MEM +9.4%

MEM +20.6%

SAC -32.9%

MEM +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MEM	NBA	SAC	MEM	NBA
this game	15.2	13.0	15.4	114.7	121.6	104.5
season	14.7	15.1		104.7	105.1
opponent	15.1	15.1		110.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.6	14.3	16.9	15.2	15.2
MEM	12.6	12.3	15.1	12.5	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	62	63	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.10	4	-11	15	15.2	15.1	0.14	13.1	13.0	0.12
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	37	39	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-8	9	16.2	14.6	1.53	13.6	12.7	0.83
Kenny Thomas	38	37	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.15	-4	-3	-1	16.2	14.6	1.55	14.8	12.1	2.68
Francisco Garcia	31	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-5	3	14.9	15.3	-0.41	11.5	13.7	-2.15
Metta World Peace	80	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	0	-7	15.0	15.9	-0.92	13.2	12.3	0.90
Mike Bibby	72	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.32	-7	0	-7	15.0	15.7	-0.77	12.7	13.9	-1.25
Corliss Williamson	47	48	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.53	-2	-5	3	15.8	14.7	1.11	12.8	13.3	-0.45
Kevin Martin	80	79	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	1	-9	14.6	17.4	-2.83	12.9	13.6	-0.67
Brad Miller	63	63	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.38	-10	3	-13	15.0	15.6	-0.61	13.0	13.2	-0.21

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	91	91	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.30	13	-6	19	13.3	11.2	2.09	15.0	16.5	-1.42
Damon Stoudamire	54	56	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.37	10	-3	13	13.8	12.2	1.59	15.9	14.3	1.53
Pau Gasol	80	81	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.30	12	-5	17	13.2	12.6	0.58	15.1	15.4	-0.31
Hakim Warrick	58	56	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.34	10	-3	13	12.2	14.2	-1.95	14.7	15.8	-1.09
Chucky Atkins	62	61	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	0	7	11.8	15.0	-3.21	14.6	16.1	-1.52
Rudy Gay	44	42	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.45	0	7	-7	12.2	13.7	-1.41	15.4	15.0	0.41
Alexander Johnson	11	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	8	-9	9.3	13.5	-4.23	13.5	15.4	-1.94
Jake Tsakalidis	6	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	9	-11	11.0	13.2	-2.18	17.4	15.1	2.33
Dahntay Jones	68	69	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.13	0	7	-7	13.5	12.2	1.22	15.6	14.4	1.13
Lawrence Roberts	49	51	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	12	-17	14.9	11.3	3.64	16.0	14.4	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.28,0.25,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.37,0.24,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 92, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.15,0.37,0.33,0.73,1	92.3%
HOU 94, PHX 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.2,0.13,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.17,0.23,0.29,0.21,0.39,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.73,1	91.7%
DAL 89, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.25,0.28,0.35,0.84,1	91.5%