inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 101 Excitement8.2 [281] MVPLuka Doncic (DAL): +31.7%
Dallas Mavericks 102 Comeback40.5 [36] LVPDamian Lillard (POR): -33.2%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jusuf Nurkic0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.10-0.010.011182%0.142-0.0600%0.00
Rodney Hood0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.00-0.01757%0.0500.0000%0.00
Zach Collins0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.020.00370%0.072-0.06425%-0.06
Meyers Leonard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00150%0.0000.0020%-0.02
Evan Turner-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.02250%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Jake Layman-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.03-0.01764%0.042-0.0600%0.00
Seth Curry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.00540%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.00-0.00333%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
CJ McCollum-0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.011739%0.002-0.072100%0.01
Maurice Harkless-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.00731%-0.061-0.02250%-0.04
Damian Lillard-0.330,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.05,0.01,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.15,-0.07,-0.330.05-0.38-0.002360%-0.085-0.254100%0.06

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luka Doncic0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.43,0.320.320.090.21-0.022058%0.363-0.05875%-0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.100.040.001859%0.161-0.03580%0.03
Trey Burke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.01757%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0-0.000.09-0.080.02665%-0.0000.00887%0.02
Justin Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00275%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Ryan Broekhoff0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.05-0.011055%0.072-0.1100%0.00
Maxi Kleber0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.001237%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.00217%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Jalen Brunson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.12-0.050.01831%-0.074-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.52.627.914.828.71.828.5129.8
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +12.2%
DAL +19.9%
DAL +2.6%
DAL +18.8%
POR -3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORDALNBAPORDALNBA
this game14.014.714.3100.0102.0109.3
season14.914.7112.6108.5
opponent14.113.9109.7109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR14.411.914.315.514.0
DAL12.815.316.314.514.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Evan Turner30300.46-0.961.43-0.0116-173313.814.1-0.3016.913.73.17
Rodney Hood51480.22-0.720.95-0.1613-142713.714.3-0.6316.013.42.62
Meyers Leonard17170.14-0.640.770.082-3515.713.62.0715.314.60.74
Al-Farouq Aminu4948-0.02-0.480.460.13-54-913.914.1-0.2413.915.4-1.51
Seth Curry2222-0.05-0.450.41-0.02-10-113.014.3-1.2515.914.31.58
Zach Collins3836-0.19-0.310.12-0.5111-122312.614.8-2.2016.413.72.76
Damian Lillard7776-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.482-3514.013.80.1914.315.9-1.57
Jusuf Nurkic4647-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.03-1413-2714.513.60.9113.116.1-2.97
Jake Layman5252-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.604-5914.113.90.2415.413.91.51
Maurice Harkless5052-0.720.22-0.95-0.31-1413-2714.313.70.6313.416.0-2.62
CJ McCollum7372-1.000.50-1.50-0.44-1918-3714.313.11.2113.817.0-3.22

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Hardaway Jr.68690.96-0.461.410.4617-163314.315.5-1.2513.814.3-0.44
Dwight Powell51540.76-0.261.020.3813-122515.014.30.6915.012.92.11
Dorian Finney-Smith75760.73-0.230.950.469-81714.216.0-1.8113.914.2-0.24
Maxi Kleber57570.63-0.130.760.69-23-514.614.8-0.2413.414.7-1.24
Luka Doncic77780.440.060.380.56-45-914.515.3-0.8714.014.0-0.08
Justin Jackson880.230.27-0.03-0.0610-91913.514.8-1.2818.913.65.32
Jalen Brunson52520.120.39-0.27-0.159-81714.415.0-0.6614.113.90.24
Courtney Lee1718-0.180.68-0.85-0.12-23-515.314.60.7415.813.62.26
Ryan Broekhoff1919-0.230.73-0.960.06-1011-2116.714.22.4711.914.5-2.57
Devin Harris1514-0.280.78-1.060.13-1415-2915.814.51.3212.314.3-1.97
Trey Burke3434-0.280.78-1.07-0.08-78-1514.514.8-0.2714.313.80.47
Dirk Nowitzki2726-0.390.89-1.290.02-1415-2915.914.21.6112.714.4-1.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 112, POR 1150.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.32,0.38,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.58,190.6%
ORL 100, PHI 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.31,0.37,0.67,0.58,190.1%
SAC 117, MEM 1240.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.28,0.25,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.37,0.24,0.85,189.8%