NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	112		Excitement	9.4 [101]		MVP	Arron Afflalo (POR): +35.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	115		Comeback	17.1 [105]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -28.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch McGary	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.05	-0.01	13	77%	0.20	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.01	0.00	4	108%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	12	58%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	3	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	5	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	12	27%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	7	37%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.05,-0.03,-0.14,0.01,-0.05,0.06,-0.29	-0.03	-0.25	0.01	32	51%	-0.14	6	-0.14	14	86%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.35	0.35	0.16	0.20	0.01	6	90%	0.37	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,-0.06,0.03,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.12	0.01	23	52%	0.19	1	-0.03	10	90%	-0.03
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	60%	0.10	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	13	29%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.17,-0.26	-0.26	0.09	-0.28	0.07	22	56%	-0.23	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.3	31.9	16.7	25.3	2.7	42.2	145.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +32.4%

POR +8.4%

POR +5.6%

POR +7.7%

OKC -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	POR	NBA	OKC	POR	NBA
this game	13.7	14.7	15.1	110.9	112.7	104.2
season	14.5	15.3		105.7	106.5
opponent	15.0	15.0		102.7	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.8	14.0	12.2	14.7	13.7
POR	15.6	14.3	14.9	14.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitch McGary	60	59	0.45	-0.95	1.39	0.18	9	-12	21	14.0	13.1	0.85	14.5	15.0	-0.57
Dion Waiters	56	58	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.13	6	-9	15	14.3	12.8	1.46	14.6	14.9	-0.30
Anthony Morrow	49	50	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.34	15	-18	33	13.7	13.6	0.08	15.4	14.1	1.34
Nick Collison	26	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	0	-3	12.7	14.0	-1.29	14.6	14.8	-0.20
Andre Roberson	44	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.07	-10	7	-17	13.0	14.2	-1.20	14.4	14.9	-0.54
D.J. Augustin	42	40	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.62	4	-7	11	14.2	13.3	0.88	14.8	14.6	0.18
Serge Ibaka	83	86	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.43	-9	6	-15	13.1	16.1	-2.99	14.9	13.7	1.15
Russell Westbrook	79	80	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.44	-12	9	-21	13.6	14.0	-0.44	14.8	14.2	0.62
Kyle Singler	66	65	-0.92	0.42	-1.35	-0.48	-15	12	-27	14.0	12.9	1.13	14.3	15.4	-1.08

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	84	83	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.37	13	-10	23	14.7	14.9	-0.21	13.3	15.4	-2.11
LaMarcus Aldridge	84	83	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-9	21	14.8	14.4	0.33	13.1	16.4	-3.33
Damian Lillard	78	78	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.35	13	-10	23	14.6	15.0	-0.43	13.3	14.8	-1.46
Wesley Matthews	71	71	0.56	-0.07	0.63	0.48	3	0	3	14.3	15.6	-1.24	13.2	14.7	-1.54
Arron Afflalo	62	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.54	-2	5	-7	15.1	14.1	1.01	14.1	12.9	1.27
Dorell Wright	12	12	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	-3	9	13.8	14.8	-1.00	17.5	13.1	4.37
Robin Lopez	55	53	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.13	-3	6	-9	15.0	14.3	0.70	13.3	14.1	-0.78
Meyers Leonard	11	11	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	13	-23	14.5	14.7	-0.19	16.0	13.4	2.63
Steve Blake	24	23	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.06	-10	13	-23	15.0	14.6	0.43	14.8	13.3	1.46
Chris Kaman	29	29	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.04	-7	10	-17	14.6	14.8	-0.23	14.7	13.2	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.32,0.38,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 89, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.46,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.26,0.36,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.2,0.27,0.45,0.37,0.55,0.59,1	91.3%
POR 101, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.92,1	90.6%
PHI 84, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.34,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.46,0.61,0.8,0.54,0.43,0.58,1	90.6%