NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	100		Excitement	8.2 [230]		MVP	Theo Ratliff (PHI): +15.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	102		Comeback	18.1 [94]		LVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): -39.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	11	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	54%	0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Chris Gatling	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	11	51%	0.04	2	-0.06	13	92%	0.09
Michael Doleac	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,0.11,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	21	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.02	4	70%	0.02	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.03	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.39	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.39	-0.14	-0.25	0.01	11	41%	-0.24	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.09	0.01	7	86%	0.20	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	0.00	6	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.06
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08	0.08	-0.04	0.11	-0.01	10	50%	0.16	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.02	29	51%	0.06	0	0.00	10	80%	0.02
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	8	45%	-0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	12	23%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.8	31.2	14.7	30.2	1.8	34.2	140.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +35.1%

ORL -0.1%

ORL -9.8%

PHI +21.9%

PHI +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	15.2	104.2	106.2	101.7
season	13.6	15.0		100.4	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.4		98.1	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.5	15.4	13.0	20.1	15.3
PHI	17.3	14.0	13.7	14.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	29	30	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.06	4	-6	10	17.9	14.1	3.80	14.0	15.1	-1.09
Ben Wallace	26	24	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.25	-4	2	-6	14.9	15.4	-0.54	16.5	14.1	2.43
Anthony Parker	44	43	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-6	10	15.9	14.7	1.16	14.6	14.8	-0.25
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	32	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	2	-6	14.7	15.6	-0.94	15.4	14.4	0.99
Pat Garrity	0	1	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-2	2	0.0	15.3	-15.28	0.0	14.9	-14.87
Michael Doleac	74	74	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.50	10	-12	22	14.7	17.1	-2.35	15.0	13.7	1.35
John Amaechi	22	22	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.05	-12	10	-22	17.1	14.7	2.35	13.7	15.0	-1.35
Bo Outlaw	38	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	1	-4	13.5	16.5	-2.99	14.2	15.1	-0.91
Chucky Atkins	54	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.44	3	-5	8	16.1	14.2	1.90	14.5	15.0	-0.58
Chris Gatling	70	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.69	2	-4	6	15.4	14.9	0.54	14.1	16.5	-2.43
Darrell Armstrong	67	68	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.48	-11	9	-20	15.0	15.9	-0.83	14.7	14.8	-0.09

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	78	77	0.95	-0.45	1.41	0.46	17	-15	32	14.1	17.5	-3.42	16.7	9.7	6.98
Eric Snow	71	70	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.36	19	-17	36	13.8	17.4	-3.57	16.3	12.4	3.92
Aaron McKie	41	42	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.58	-2	4	-6	15.8	13.9	1.81	15.6	15.0	0.60
Tyrone Hill	74	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.49	0	2	-2	15.1	13.4	1.70	14.3	18.7	-4.47
Allen Iverson	81	82	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	0	2	14.8	14.4	0.38	14.9	17.4	-2.43
George Lynch	44	44	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	-8	18	12.6	16.5	-3.89	15.6	15.0	0.57
Larry Hughes	22	21	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.06	-12	14	-26	16.8	14.1	2.72	16.2	15.0	1.16
Billy Owens	29	29	-0.29	0.80	-1.09	0.03	-11	13	-24	17.0	13.7	3.22	12.1	16.7	-4.55
Matt Geiger	40	41	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.06	-13	15	-28	15.2	14.3	0.91	14.5	15.8	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.31,0.37,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 101, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.92,1	90.1%
OKC 112, POR 115	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.32,0.38,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.58,1	90.0%
SAC 97, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.31,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.25,0.23,0.1,0.05,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.43,0.74,1	89.4%