NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	108		Excitement	7.4 [449]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (MIL): +29.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	110		Comeback	1.0 [1215]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -21.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.10	0.05	16	68%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.15	-0.02	0.16	-0.02	9	50%	0.19	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Isaiah Livers	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	9	54%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jaden Ivey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.02	17	50%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
Nerlens Noel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Killian Hayes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.09,-0.22	0.00	-0.17	0.05	23	56%	-0.07	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.3	0.30	0.08	0.23	0.01	15	68%	0.40	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.02
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.08	0.02	16	71%	0.23	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	11	60%	0.12	1	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.18,0.1,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	23	56%	0.17	4	-0.12	9	78%	-0.02
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
MarJon Beauchamp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Nwora	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	4	75%	0.04	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	26.5	14.4	31.4	2.4	36.7	141.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +50.0%

DET -12.8%

MIL +20.9%

DET -12.2%

MIL +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIL	NBA	DET	MIL	NBA
this game	14.0	15.1	14.4	109.1	111.1	113.4
season	14.6	14.0		109.6	113.8
opponent	14.2	14.2		111.1	117.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.6	14.4	14.2	12.8	14.0
MIL	13.7	15.0	15.2	16.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Livers	34	32	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.21	12	-14	26	13.9	14.1	-0.14	15.8	14.7	1.06
Hamidou Diallo	38	37	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.15	6	-8	14	14.7	13.6	1.02	16.8	14.0	2.75
Killian Hayes	31	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-9	16	13.9	14.1	-0.19	17.3	14.1	3.20
Nerlens Noel	35	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-3	4	14.9	13.5	1.37	15.6	14.8	0.79
Isaiah Stewart	64	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	1	-4	13.5	14.9	-1.37	14.8	15.6	-0.79
Bojan Bogdanovic	74	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	3	-8	13.7	14.9	-1.14	14.8	15.9	-1.13
Cade Cunningham	76	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	5	-12	14.0	14.2	-0.19	14.5	16.9	-2.32
Jaden Ivey	85	85	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.32	-9	7	-16	14.1	13.7	0.37	14.8	16.5	-1.68
Saddiq Bey	58	59	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.25	-12	10	-22	14.1	14.0	0.13	13.8	16.9	-3.13

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	73	73	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-10	22	14.8	15.7	-0.86	13.8	14.8	-1.00
Jrue Holiday	78	77	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-8	18	15.4	13.6	1.83	13.9	14.3	-0.37
Wesley Matthews	42	42	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.35	-3	5	-8	15.3	14.9	0.35	13.4	14.5	-1.13
Grayson Allen	43	44	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.07	11	-9	20	13.5	16.2	-2.74	14.4	13.8	0.60
Bobby Portis	53	52	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.27	-1	3	-4	17.1	12.8	4.30	14.1	13.9	0.22
Jevon Carter	53	54	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	1	0	13.3	17.1	-3.79	14.4	13.6	0.71
Giannis Antetokounmpo	68	69	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	3	-4	14.5	16.3	-1.79	13.9	14.3	-0.43
George Hill	34	34	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.39	-10	12	-22	16.2	14.5	1.70	14.1	14.0	0.18
Jordan Nwora	25	25	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	5	-8	15.5	14.9	0.61	14.6	13.8	0.82
Serge Ibaka	19	17	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	5	-8	15.9	14.8	1.10	14.9	13.8	1.10
MarJon Beauchamp	7	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	5	-8	15.6	15.0	0.55	12.7	14.1	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.76,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 99, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.6,0.8,0.85,0.76,0.72,1	93.4%
WAS 89, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.73,1	92.9%
ORL 90, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.82,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.9,0.94,0.99,1	92.6%