NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	128		Excitement	5.7 [769]		MVP	Bruce Brown (DEN): +15.9%
Golden State Warriors	123		Comeback	1.2 [460]		LVP	Jordan Poole (GSW): -5.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Brown	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.16	0.13	0.06	0.03	10	91%	0.21	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Porter Jr.	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.00	-0.00	12	71%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.01	5	83%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Jokic	0.10	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.04	0.01	13	70%	0.17	5	-0.07	11	100%	0.04
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	14	61%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	90%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Braun	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Davon Reed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bones Hyland	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	54%	0.08	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Aaron Gordon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	12	42%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.01	6	81%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	17	56%	0.08	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
James Wiseman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	5	85%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0,0	-0.00	0.17	-0.11	0.07	22	64%	0.12	3	-0.12	9	100%	0.04
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	5	30%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	14	57%	0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.04	0.02	5	50%	0.04	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	0.2	31.4	15.3	30.4	2.7	41.0	147.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +39.5%

GSW -3.0%

DEN +7.9%

DEN +3.3%

DEN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	GSW	NBA	DEN	GSW	NBA
this game	13.7	13.0	14.4	119.6	113.9	113.4
season	14.7	13.9		116.6	114.1
opponent	14.1	14.5		112.6	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.9	12.9	15.0	13.2	13.7
GSW	13.2	13.3	12.2	13.4	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Braun	51	51	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-9	23	12.6	14.8	-2.18	13.9	12.3	1.55
Jeff Green	42	42	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.02	14	-9	23	13.0	14.3	-1.31	14.0	12.5	1.48
Bones Hyland	44	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	-8	21	12.5	14.6	-2.08	13.2	12.9	0.30
Davon Reed	26	28	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.10	14	-9	23	12.2	14.2	-2.00	11.9	13.4	-1.51
DeAndre Jordan	31	31	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	-3	11	13.0	14.0	-1.01	13.4	12.9	0.52
Nikola Jokic	76	77	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	8	-11	14.0	13.0	1.01	12.9	13.4	-0.52
Aaron Gordon	63	64	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.41	-10	15	-25	14.6	12.5	2.08	12.7	13.5	-0.73
Bruce Brown	68	69	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.35	-8	13	-21	14.1	13.1	1.06	12.5	14.1	-1.61
Michael Porter Jr.	61	61	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.32	-7	12	-19	14.6	12.6	1.96	13.1	13.0	0.16
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	73	72	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.39	-10	15	-25	14.5	12.2	2.30	13.0	13.1	-0.06

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	39	39	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-8	11	13.6	12.8	0.81	15.7	12.6	3.06
Klay Thompson	56	55	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.29	9	-14	23	12.1	14.1	-1.95	13.8	13.7	0.11
Draymond Green	60	60	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.38	11	-16	27	12.4	13.8	-1.38	14.3	13.0	1.30
Moses Moody	26	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-8	11	15.9	12.1	3.79	15.1	13.3	1.74
Stephen Curry	79	80	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.42	9	-14	23	12.6	14.2	-1.63	14.3	12.0	2.39
Andrew Wiggins	82	81	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.40	7	-12	19	13.4	12.0	1.33	14.2	12.5	1.70
Jonathan Kuminga	18	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	5	-15	12.1	13.2	-1.12	12.7	14.0	-1.29
Donte DiVincenzo	24	22	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	8	-21	12.5	13.2	-0.70	12.5	14.1	-1.63
JaMychal Green	53	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	5	-15	13.6	12.5	1.02	13.6	13.9	-0.22
James Wiseman	37	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	-14	9	-23	13.8	12.7	1.12	12.4	14.5	-2.09
Jordan Poole	66	65	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.08	-20	15	-35	12.7	13.6	-0.86	11.9	16.7	-4.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 88, SAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0,0,0	95.4%
LAL 111, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
MIA 115, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.0%