NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	111		Excitement	4.2 [970]		MVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): +10.2%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	1.5 [445]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -10.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.18	0.00	0.08	18	70%	0.11	1	-0.01	11	82%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.02	4	71%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	10	60%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	23	55%	0.11	3	-0.06	12	83%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Powell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	8	28%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	14	62%	0.07	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	12	58%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	87%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othyus Jeffers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	17%	-0.02	1	0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	11	42%	0.00	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	18	46%	0.02	4	-0.12	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	3.3	35.4	19.7	28.0	3.0	36.4	151.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +27.6%

LAL +0.4%

LAL +3.2%

LAL +16.4%

LAL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	17.8	13.5	15.3	120.7	104.3	106.0
season	15.7	15.3		107.9	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.1		104.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.3	17.0	17.2	19.0	17.8
UTA	14.5	14.3	12.2	12.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	48	47	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.27	30	-15	45	17.5	18.2	-0.64	14.1	12.8	1.29
Kobe Bryant	81	83	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	6	3	17.7	18.6	-0.90	13.5	12.9	0.63
Pau Gasol	76	76	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.18	18	-3	21	18.1	16.6	1.56	13.9	11.2	2.67
Shannon Brown	33	34	0.34	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	11	-7	18.5	17.5	1.04	13.0	13.7	-0.72
Metta World Peace	67	66	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.18	17	-2	19	17.6	18.4	-0.76	13.7	12.9	0.74
Derek Fisher	78	77	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.06	12	3	9	18.0	17.2	0.75	13.3	14.3	-1.05
Jordan Farmar	16	16	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	12	-9	17.7	17.9	-0.12	14.1	13.3	0.73
Luke Walton	4	3	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	11	-7	16.0	17.9	-1.93	12.7	13.5	-0.82
Josh Powell	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.25	-9	24	-33	16.0	18.0	-2.02	8.5	13.9	-5.43
Andrew Bynum	49	50	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.35	-13	28	-41	18.0	17.6	0.41	13.0	14.0	-1.00

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrylo Fesenko	60	60	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.21	8	-23	31	12.7	14.8	-2.13	17.7	18.2	-0.47
Sundiata Gaines	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-22	29	8.0	13.7	-5.70	16.7	17.9	-1.15
Kosta Koufos	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-22	29	8.0	13.7	-5.70	16.7	17.9	-1.15
Othyus Jeffers	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-22	29	8.0	13.7	-5.70	16.7	17.9	-1.15
Ronnie Price	5	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-12	9	19.6	13.1	6.50	17.8	17.9	-0.05
Andrei Kirilenko	25	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-9	3	13.4	13.5	-0.13	17.3	18.0	-0.70
CJ Miles	69	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-11	7	13.2	14.3	-1.19	17.8	18.1	-0.38
Kyle Korver	22	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	-4	-7	13.0	13.6	-0.66	18.2	17.7	0.44
Carlos Boozer	69	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.04	-13	-2	-11	13.5	13.3	0.20	18.1	17.0	1.04
Wesley Matthews	69	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.20	-19	4	-23	14.4	10.5	3.91	18.1	17.0	1.13
Deron Williams	83	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	4	-23	13.3	14.4	-1.10	17.9	17.3	0.57
Paul Millsap	46	45	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	0.23	-29	14	-43	14.6	12.3	2.22	17.7	18.0	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 104, MIL 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.7%
LAL 110, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
ATL 80, MIN 66	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%