NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	132		Excitement	12.4 [15]		MVP	Jordan Clarkson (UTA): +54.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	126		Comeback	5.4 [88]		LVP	Lauri Markkanen (UTA): -20.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.55	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55	0.21	0.33	-0.01	17	81%	0.60	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Mike Conley	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.23,0.23	-0.05	0.26	-0.02	15	37%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.00	14	75%	0.27	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.01,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	16	47%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.01	6	55%	0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.04
Walker Kessler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	4	20%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Jarred Vanderbilt	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	5	33%	-0.12	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Lauri Markkanen	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.28,-0.21	0.03	-0.23	0.01	23	50%	-0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Nowell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.09	-0.01	14	62%	0.21	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.13	0.01	17	61%	0.25	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	0.00	7	62%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.01	3	83%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.11	0.01	23	59%	0.13	5	-0.21	5	60%	-0.02
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	10	39%	-0.01	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.18
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,0.03,0.04,-0.14,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	25	47%	-0.00	5	-0.15	8	87%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.1	1.7	25.0	14.8	29.3	1.7	38.3	2.5	15.2	156.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +24.7%

MIN -1.7%

UTA +3.3%

UTA +30.3%

MIN -6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	14.5	13.3	14.4	115.8	109.6	113.4
season	14.3	14.1		114.4	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.1		112.7	115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	14.4	14.1	13.8	14.2	18.9	14.5
MIN	9.7	14.2	13.3	15.8	16.6	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lauri Markkanen	82	84	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.52	7	-1	8	14.5	14.2	0.33	13.5	12.9	0.53
Mike Conley	75	80	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.33	13	-7	20	14.5	14.4	0.11	13.9	12.1	1.78
Jordan Clarkson	73	74	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.47	8	-2	10	14.6	14.1	0.48	14.0	12.2	1.79
Jarred Vanderbilt	53	52	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-6	18	14.1	14.7	-0.61	14.7	12.2	2.54
Kelly Olynyk	75	74	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.36	7	-1	8	14.2	14.9	-0.67	13.4	13.2	0.23
Malik Beasley	63	64	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	7	-8	15.0	13.8	1.25	13.3	13.3	-0.02
Walker Kessler	40	40	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.11	-3	9	-12	14.7	14.3	0.45	11.4	14.3	-2.95
Talen Horton-Tucker	32	34	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.11	-3	9	-12	14.3	14.5	-0.16	11.9	13.9	-2.04
Rudy Gay	33	33	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.15	-3	9	-12	13.9	14.7	-0.73	12.3	13.7	-1.39
Collin Sexton	44	40	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.10	-7	13	-20	14.1	14.7	-0.56	12.8	13.6	-0.84

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Nowell	45	45	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.09	7	-13	20	12.0	14.2	-2.17	14.3	14.6	-0.24
Taurean Prince	43	43	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.12	5	-11	16	11.5	14.4	-2.93	14.0	14.7	-0.66
Jordan McLaughlin	35	36	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.01	4	-10	14	11.2	14.3	-3.09	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Austin Rivers	17	18	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.21	-5	-1	-4	13.6	13.3	0.31	14.7	14.4	0.32
Kyle Anderson	1	1	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-9	12	11.0	13.3	-2.34	21.0	14.4	6.60
Bryn Forbes	5	5	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-7	8	19.4	13.0	6.35	13.0	14.5	-1.52
Naz Reid	21	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.03	-1	-5	4	12.4	13.5	-1.09	14.0	14.6	-0.56
Jaden McDaniels	73	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.06	-13	7	-20	13.9	12.3	1.59	14.2	15.0	-0.85
Karl-Anthony Towns	72	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-3	0	13.5	13.1	0.37	14.5	14.3	0.21
Anthony Edwards	90	90	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.46	-6	0	-6	13.0	14.6	-1.63	14.5	14.4	0.10
Rudy Gobert	80	77	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	3	-12	14.3	11.0	3.34	14.8	13.7	1.16
D'Angelo Russell	84	82	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.47	-7	1	-8	14.1	11.1	3.05	14.4	14.7	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.66,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.21,0.1,0.04,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.68,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 100, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.26,0.34,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.46,0.62,0.36,0.17,0.23,0	85.5%
OKC 102, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.22,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.84,0	85.2%
DET 115, DEN 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.83,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.5,0.48,0.66,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.14,0.04,1	85.0%