NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	102		Excitement	12.5 [11]		MVP	Tyreke Evans (MEM): +49.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	101		Comeback	15.2 [126]		LVP	JaMychal Green (MEM): -30.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Abrines	0.40	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.13	0.28	0.01	10	95%	0.54	3	-0.14	1	0%	-0.07
Steven Adams	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	11	62%	0.11	0	0.00	12	58%	-0.12
Josh Huestis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	2	125%	0.15	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	43%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	20	44%	0.01	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.05
Andre Roberson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.3,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.53,-0.14	-0.24	0.10	0.00	29	30%	-0.07	3	-0.07	8	62%	0.11

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.76,0.5	0.50	0.08	0.39	-0.02	24	58%	0.54	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.20
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.07	0.01	10	85%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	8	76%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.02,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.01	17	55%	0.19	2	-0.19	6	67%	-0.15
Deyonta Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	8	17%	-0.13	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.31	-0.31	-0.08	-0.23	-0.00	6	36%	-0.20	3	-0.11	2	0%	-0.19

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.6	2.6	28.2	14.5	26.2	1.6	30.3	2.4	14.9	148.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM -19.1%

OKC +22.9%

OKC +18.1%

OKC +22.6%

OKC +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MEM	NBA	OKC	MEM	NBA
this game	14.8	18.2	14.7	109.7	102.0	107.5
season	14.2	15.4		109.4	103.4
opponent	14.6	15.3		109.8	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
OKC	16.1	13.5	11.3	16.9	18.1	14.8
MEM	14.0	17.7	23.5	19.1	17.2	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	64	69	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.48	8	-7	15	14.3	15.9	-1.60	18.8	16.9	1.94
Russell Westbrook	74	81	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.34	11	-10	21	13.9	18.4	-4.56	19.2	13.9	5.23
Andre Roberson	71	74	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	-6	13	14.8	14.9	-0.15	19.0	15.8	3.24
Alex Abrines	73	80	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	-3	7	14.5	16.0	-1.60	18.7	16.3	2.42
Raymond Felton	36	37	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.38	-4	5	-9	16.3	13.8	2.46	16.0	19.5	-3.51
Steven Adams	66	70	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	-7	15	14.5	15.4	-0.86	19.1	16.1	3.00
Jerami Grant	22	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.18	-8	9	-17	13.7	15.1	-1.40	15.8	19.0	-3.18
Kyle Singler	11	13	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.07	-9	10	-19	17.3	14.5	2.81	12.0	19.2	-7.16
Josh Huestis	12	11	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.09	-4	5	-9	18.2	14.3	3.87	18.3	18.2	0.06
Patrick Patterson	28	28	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.06	-9	10	-19	15.5	14.5	1.01	16.4	18.9	-2.50

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deyonta Davis	22	20	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.05	8	-9	17	16.1	18.8	-2.74	14.1	15.0	-0.82
Jarell Martin	19	19	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-3	5	14.8	19.0	-4.18	17.0	14.2	2.77
Dillon Brooks	71	65	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.16	-5	4	-9	19.8	14.3	5.49	14.8	14.8	0.01
Ben McLemore	52	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.50	15	-16	31	16.9	19.7	-2.78	16.6	12.8	3.84
Mario Chalmers	22	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	6	-13	20.0	17.7	2.29	14.1	15.0	-0.88
James Ennis III	39	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-2	3	16.9	19.1	-2.14	14.8	14.8	-0.05
JaMychal Green	66	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-2	3	18.6	17.5	1.11	14.4	15.5	-1.16
Tyreke Evans	77	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.56	3	-4	7	18.0	18.9	-0.88	15.1	13.7	1.40
Marc Gasol	77	73	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.42	-9	8	-17	18.8	16.1	2.74	15.0	14.1	0.82
Andrew Harrison	50	47	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.52	-14	13	-27	18.7	17.7	1.01	12.4	17.3	-4.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.22,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, CHA 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.64,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.31,0.42,1	86.5%
GSW 108, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.43,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.42,0	86.3%
PHX 122, WAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.48,0.53,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.61,0.28,0.1,0,0	86.0%