NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	122		Excitement	7.8 [323]		MVP	TJ Warren (PHX): +53.1%
Washington Wizards	116		Comeback	9.0 [13]		LVP	Tyler Ulis (PHX): -8.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
TJ Warren	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.34,0.51,0.53,0.53	0.28	0.28	0.03	22	74%	0.54	1	-0.01	10	70%	-0.05
Troy Daniels	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	5	80%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	9	42%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Marquese Chriss	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.06	0.02	7	56%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Devin Booker	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.12	-0.07	0.00	15	63%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Alex Len	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.03	0.04	3	70%	0.01	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Mike James	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.04	-0.01	10	33%	0.01	2	-0.06	10	70%	0.01
Tyler Ulis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	44%	0.02	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.05

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.22	0.11	0.02	25	66%	0.34	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.05
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	11	52%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.06	0.04	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.01	7	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Wall	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	18	52%	0.12	4	-0.14	4	0%	-0.13
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	6	56%	0.03	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	30.6	14.8	26.2	1.8	35.0	136.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +30.0%

PHX +13.1%

PHX +0.8%

PHX +8.8%

WAS -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	WAS	NBA	PHX	WAS	NBA
this game	15.5	13.2	14.7	120.8	116.0	107.5
season	14.2	14.8		102.6	108.2
opponent	14.7	14.3		107.9	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	19.8	14.2	13.2	14.8	15.5
WAS	10.7	12.0	16.8	13.4	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquese Chriss	53	50	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.39	3	3	0	15.9	15.0	0.91	13.1	13.3	-0.26
Tyson Chandler	73	70	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	0	6	15.8	14.6	1.17	12.2	15.5	-3.30
TJ Warren	75	73	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-6	18	15.4	15.6	-0.16	13.2	13.1	0.11
Mike James	60	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	5	-4	16.0	14.6	1.42	12.7	13.9	-1.20
Troy Daniels	31	29	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	-3	12	13.8	16.2	-2.43	15.2	12.4	2.84
Devin Booker	70	71	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.28	-3	9	-12	16.2	13.8	2.43	12.4	15.2	-2.84
Tyler Ulis	41	39	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	1	4	14.6	16.0	-1.42	13.9	12.7	1.20
Josh Jackson	26	27	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	12	-18	15.6	15.4	0.16	13.1	13.2	-0.11
Alex Len	28	30	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	6	-6	14.6	15.8	-1.17	15.5	12.2	3.30
Dragan Bender	48	50	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	3	0	15.0	15.9	-0.91	13.3	13.1	0.26

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tomas Satoransky	50	49	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.20	6	-12	18	14.6	11.8	2.74	15.7	15.2	0.42
Jason Smith	30	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-1	-4	14.1	12.8	1.30	15.8	15.3	0.52
Bradley Beal	77	78	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.32	6	-12	18	12.6	15.3	-2.75	16.3	12.4	3.91
John Wall	74	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-10	14	12.7	14.5	-1.72	16.4	13.1	3.25
Jodie Meeks	26	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	2	-10	14.7	12.7	1.98	14.0	16.0	-2.04
Ian Mahinmi	32	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	2	-10	14.5	12.6	1.97	14.5	15.9	-1.41
Marcin Gortat	68	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.33	2	-8	10	12.6	14.5	-1.97	15.9	14.5	1.41
Tim Frazier	26	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	4	-14	14.5	12.7	1.72	13.1	16.4	-3.25
Mike Scott	70	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-5	4	12.8	14.1	-1.30	15.3	15.8	-0.52
Kelly Oubre Jr.	47	48	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.13	-16	10	-26	12.0	14.3	-2.33	14.6	16.2	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.48,0.53,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.61,0.28,0.1,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 90, PHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.59,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.47,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.03,0.01,0	90.4%
MEM 120, PHX 115	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.37,0.47,0.66,0.54,0.52,0.21,0.06,0.04,0	89.8%
MIL 93, MIA 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.57,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.05,0	89.7%