NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	120		Excitement	7.9 [322]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +26.0%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	5.8 [289]		LVP	Dragan Bender (PHX): -19.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.16	0.13	0.03	19	63%	0.30	1	-0.04	14	79%	0.05
Jonas Valanciunas	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.02	28	59%	0.25	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Justin Holiday	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Julian Washburn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	7	86%	-0.01
Jevon Carter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Delon Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	6	67%	-0.05
Chandler Parsons	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Caboclo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.08	0.01	7	60%	0.02	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.11	-0.01	3	73%	0.18	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.06	-0.03	8	56%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.21	-0.06	0.03	29	73%	0.37	6	-0.24	8	87%	0.03
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	11	65%	0.11	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ray Spalding	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.07	0.04	9	50%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.01	-0.17	0.02	5	67%	-0.04	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	27.8	14.8	27.4	2.5	30.4	131.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -8.4%

MEM +10.9%

MEM +19.2%

MEM +30.8%

PHX -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	13.9	14.1	14.3	116.5	111.7	109.3
season	15.4	14.4		105.4	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.2		114.0	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.2	12.5	16.2	12.0	13.9
PHX	13.6	14.1	13.8	14.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	82	84	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.29	20	-15	35	13.5	15.4	-1.88	14.5	12.3	2.16
Bruno Caboclo	81	80	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-6	17	13.8	14.1	-0.32	13.9	14.6	-0.63
Tyler Dorsey	80	79	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.30	9	-4	13	13.5	15.3	-1.83	14.0	14.3	-0.33
Delon Wright	60	60	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.46	-3	8	-11	13.7	14.1	-0.36	14.5	13.5	0.97
Justin Holiday	72	74	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.13	15	-10	25	13.4	15.1	-1.69	14.5	12.9	1.60
Jonas Valanciunas	72	73	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	3	-1	13.9	13.9	0.02	14.0	14.3	-0.31
Ivan Rabb	28	27	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	2	1	14.5	13.7	0.80	14.9	13.8	1.10
Julian Washburn	16	16	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.07	-9	14	-23	16.4	13.4	2.95	12.8	14.3	-1.50
Jevon Carter	9	8	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.14	-12	17	-29	16.9	13.6	3.29	10.5	14.4	-3.88
Chandler Parsons	15	14	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.10	-11	16	-27	16.0	13.5	2.48	11.2	14.5	-3.31

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deandre Ayton	58	57	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.03	7	-12	19	14.3	13.8	0.57	14.8	12.7	2.07
De'Anthony Melton	36	36	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.04	6	-11	17	14.3	13.9	0.39	16.1	12.7	3.42
Troy Daniels	46	47	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.03	2	-7	9	13.9	14.2	-0.38	14.4	13.5	0.92
Elie Okobo	16	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.12	-6	1	-7	15.7	13.8	1.98	11.9	14.2	-2.36
Ray Spalding	3	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-2	-1	17.3	14.0	3.35	16.7	13.8	2.87
Devin Booker	91	91	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.44	1	-6	7	13.9	15.4	-1.52	14.0	12.7	1.28
Dragan Bender	65	65	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	0	-5	14.0	14.2	-0.21	13.1	15.3	-2.19
Josh Jackson	64	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.40	-6	1	-7	14.1	14.1	-0.04	14.0	13.7	0.32
Mikal Bridges	69	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	5	-15	13.8	14.6	-0.85	13.6	14.6	-1.01
Jamal Crawford	67	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.31	-11	6	-17	13.9	14.3	-0.39	12.7	16.1	-3.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.37,0.47,0.66,0.54,0.52,0.21,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 113, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.75,0.75,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.16,0.06,0,0	91.9%
PHI 102, IND 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.45,0.37,0.01,0,0	91.6%
CLE 106, NYK 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.09,0.04,0	91.5%