NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	100		Excitement	10.9 [52]		MVP	PJ Tucker (PHX): +65.1%
Phoenix Suns	98		Comeback	4.8 [299]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (PHX): -32.3%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,0.29	-0.13	0.40	-0.02	19	32%	0.38	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.04
Brook Lopez	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.15	0.06	0.07	-0.01	16	64%	0.43	4	-0.28	10	90%	0.06
Mason Plumlee	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	3	87%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Shaun Livingston	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	12	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyshawn Taylor	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.00	6	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Alan Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	0.02	-0.16	0.02	12	50%	-0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18	-0.05	-0.13	-0.01	8	25%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.65	0.65	0.14	0.52	0.00	11	77%	0.65	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	81%	0.13	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.07	0.02	8	68%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Ish Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Viacheslav Kravtsov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	9	20%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.10	0.02	12	56%	0.02	4	-0.14	10	90%	0.02
Miles Plumlee	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	10	30%	-0.01	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.01	-0.32	-0.00	13	50%	-0.21	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.9	2.7	30.1	15.4	25.3	1.8	33.0	1.8	11.3	150.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +0.9%

BKN +4.5%

BKN +32.5%

BKN +18.5%

PHX -6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	PHX	NBA	BKN	PHX	NBA
this game	16.8	15.1	15.1	100.0	99.0	105.2
season	15.7	14.7		105.1	107.7
opponent	14.9	15.5		105.0	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BKN	16.1	15.0	18.5	17.9	18.7	16.8
PHX	11.8	12.6	19.4	18.1	16.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	71	64	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.39	16	-14	30	16.2	18.4	-2.23	16.6	12.5	4.12
Joe Johnson	83	81	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.49	10	-8	18	17.0	15.9	1.14	15.6	13.0	2.59
Brook Lopez	65	64	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.65	1	1	0	17.2	16.2	1.01	16.2	13.1	3.15
Paul Pierce	78	77	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-4	10	16.3	18.6	-2.32	15.6	13.4	2.26
Kevin Garnett	52	53	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	-3	8	16.4	17.3	-0.97	16.2	13.8	2.38
Mirza Teletovic	14	15	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	-10	22	14.9	17.1	-2.21	14.9	15.2	-0.22
Tyshawn Taylor	3	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	3	-4	19.7	16.7	2.92	14.4	15.2	-0.76
Reggie Evans	10	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	1	0	13.1	17.2	-4.14	12.4	15.4	-2.99
Deron Williams	9	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	6	-10	16.7	16.8	-0.18	10.8	15.7	-4.88
Mason Plumlee	25	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.15	0	2	-2	17.4	16.6	0.76	13.3	15.8	-2.51
Alan Anderson	20	21	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	9	-16	19.4	16.2	3.27	13.0	15.7	-2.69
Andray Blatche	34	31	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.23	-15	17	-32	18.3	16.1	2.26	13.3	15.9	-2.62
Jason Terry	36	37	-0.51	1.01	-1.51	-0.10	-14	16	-30	17.1	16.7	0.44	13.2	16.3	-3.04

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	33	34	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.07	9	-11	20	13.8	15.8	-2.00	17.2	16.6	0.57
Channing Frye	52	52	0.27	-0.77	1.05	-0.28	19	-21	40	14.6	15.7	-1.02	17.5	16.1	1.36
Archie Goodwin	16	15	0.27	-0.77	1.05	0.07	7	-9	16	14.3	15.3	-0.96	15.4	17.1	-1.68
Marcus Morris	48	48	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.20	10	-12	22	14.2	16.0	-1.81	18.2	15.6	2.61
Viacheslav Kravtsov	9	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-1	0	13.1	15.3	-2.21	15.8	17.0	-1.14
Ish Smith	3	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	1	-4	15.7	15.1	0.56	12.4	17.1	-4.66
Markieff Morris	42	42	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.01	-17	15	-32	15.3	15.0	0.29	15.7	17.7	-2.01
Goran Dragic	85	86	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.51	0	-2	2	15.5	12.6	2.89	17.0	16.1	0.88
PJ Tucker	65	63	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.65	-1	-1	0	16.0	13.4	2.60	17.6	15.5	2.09
Miles Plumlee	67	68	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.32	-18	16	-34	15.5	14.3	1.24	16.1	18.4	-2.36
Eric Bledsoe	75	76	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.45	-15	13	-28	15.3	14.4	0.93	16.6	17.5	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.26,0.34,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.46,0.62,0.36,0.17,0.23,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 90, MIL 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.23,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.68,0.58,0	86.2%
NJN 110, BOS 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.72,0.58,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.61,0.37,0.43,0.42,0	85.9%
IND 114, SEA 111	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.42,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.45,0.57,0.73,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.22,0.42,0	85.8%