inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 90 Excitement11.7 [18] MVPRay Allen (MIL): +8.5%
Milwaukee Bucks 88 Comeback58.2 [19] LVPTim Thomas (MIL): -65.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vladimir Stepania0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kendall Gill-0.000,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.02950%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Eddie Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.03-0.02-0.000.011752%0.212-0.24887%0.11
Chris Gatling-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jim Jackson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.11,-0.04-0.070.03-0.001035%0.102-0.1400%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.05-0.090.01667%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Brian Grant-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,-0.050.01-0.050.011564%0.224-0.273100%0.02
Eddie House-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.04-0.060.00530%-0.061-0.0500%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.150,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.06-0.070.011247%-0.052-0.09667%-0.02
Rod Strickland-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.16-0.04-0.01915%-0.142-0.05250%-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.22,0.22,0.090.090.120.010.052262%0.141-0.054100%0.09
Darvin Ham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.060.002100%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.030.090.00533%0.0600.002100%0.10
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Redd0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.01625%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Anthony Mason0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.28-0.28-0.10-0.18-0.00923%-0.2800.00475%-0.01
Glenn Robinson0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.29,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.49,-0.49,-0.49,-0.58-0.58-0.17-0.380.022643%-0.436-0.15650%-0.08
Tim Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.41,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.41,-0.41,-0.65-0.65-0.11-0.55-0.00855%-0.046-0.624100%0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game20.92.526.515.422.51.632.01.511.2134.2
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.01.716.7149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +67.6%
MIL -17.3%
MIL -20.5%
MIL -1.3%
MIA +21.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAMILNBAMIAMILNBA
this game17.515.515.693.890.7102.3
season16.515.396.6104.7
opponent16.015.8105.198.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA15.918.517.519.315.317.5
MIL14.716.716.015.014.715.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Jones83850.82-0.321.140.5011-92016.921.2-4.2515.416.4-1.06
Jim Jackson56570.51-0.010.520.288-61417.817.10.6915.515.40.06
Eddie House27270.340.160.17-0.0714-122617.117.6-0.5616.215.20.97
Kendall Gill45450.270.230.040.59-1113-2417.917.10.7314.616.2-1.65
Alonzo Mourning77780.240.26-0.020.2111017.318.2-0.9115.913.72.24
Brian Grant67660.220.28-0.050.37-57-1217.018.6-1.5915.116.2-1.09
Rod Strickland69700.160.34-0.170.52-1214-2617.617.10.5615.216.2-0.97
LaPhonso Ellis43450.080.42-0.35-0.2511-92019.016.22.8415.415.6-0.20
Chris Gatling32-0.030.53-0.560.03-24-627.017.29.8318.515.43.08
Vladimir Stepania1010-0.110.61-0.730.03-57-1213.917.9-4.0019.215.14.14

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joel Przybilla26260.02-0.520.54-0.135-71214.615.8-1.2416.717.8-1.08
Anthony Mason8483-0.13-0.370.24-0.4511-132415.316.4-1.0417.119.8-2.74
Michael Redd2524-0.15-0.350.210.00-53-816.315.21.0719.116.92.14
Ervin Johnson5960-0.20-0.300.090.00-75-1216.913.23.7017.417.6-0.26
Ray Allen8281-0.23-0.270.05-0.468-101814.918.9-4.0817.019.8-2.75
Rafer Alston4847-0.23-0.270.030.03-97-1615.415.5-0.0917.217.7-0.52
Tim Thomas5859-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.36-31-415.116.0-0.9018.415.92.49
Darvin Ham2322-0.540.04-0.59-0.22-119-2014.515.8-1.2619.017.02.03
Glenn Robinson8078-0.590.09-0.68-0.621-3415.813.91.9417.218.9-1.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.23,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.68,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 110, SEA 1070.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.54,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.73,087.0%
CLE 100, ATL 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.15,0.31,0.26,086.7%
NYK 112, DEN 1080.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.34,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.32,0.74,0.46,0.25,0.54,0.43,0.42,086.4%