NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	110		Excitement	12.3 [20]		MVP	Derek Fisher (GSW): +48.4%
Seattle SuperSonics	107		Comeback	2.7 [233]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -29.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.48	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.42,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.48	0.15	0.33	-0.00	16	65%	0.48	0	0.00	8	100%	0.17
Mike Dunleavy	0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.3	0.12	0.17	-0.01	9	70%	0.30	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Troy Murphy	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.13	0.00	9	64%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.08
Calbert Cheaney	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	0.00	5	83%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.14	-0.06	0.14	-0.07	18	49%	0.28	5	-0.14	7	71%	0.03
Adonal Foyle	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	4	70%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Andris Biedrins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.10	-0.21	-0.02	17	43%	-0.13	5	-0.16	3	33%	-0.09

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.61,0.61,0.33	0.33	0.18	0.15	-0.00	24	65%	0.38	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.04	0.20	-0.01	11	58%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.12	-0.01	16	47%	0.29	1	-0.16	4	100%	0.16
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	10	52%	0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.10	4	75%	-0.04
Luke Ridnour	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	11	18%	-0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	17	32%	-0.06	3	-0.20	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	33.1	16.8	24.3	2.6	42.1	1.7	16.2	163.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +39.3%

GSW +12.6%

SEA -19.2%

GSW +19.7%

SEA -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SEA	NBA	GSW	SEA	NBA
this game	15.1	17.2	15.6	111.1	109.2	104.4
season	14.8	15.0		102.9	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		112.2	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	14.4	13.8	12.9	18.3	18.6	15.1
SEA	19.2	16.2	18.4	15.1	16.8	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	75	73	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.56	1	2	-1	15.1	15.3	-0.22	17.7	15.5	2.22
Derek Fisher	68	67	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.36	7	-4	11	16.0	13.3	2.71	16.3	19.1	-2.77
Baron Davis	84	83	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	1	1	14.9	16.3	-1.43	17.4	15.7	1.78
Troy Murphy	75	75	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	-2	7	15.6	13.7	1.87	17.5	16.0	1.48
Jason Richardson	82	83	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.52	-5	8	-13	14.8	16.6	-1.77	17.1	17.3	-0.19
Ike Diogu	16	16	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.02	5	-2	7	14.0	15.3	-1.34	15.3	17.5	-2.22
Andris Biedrins	7	7	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	0	3	16.1	15.0	1.10	17.1	17.2	-0.03
Zarko Cabarkapa	15	14	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.07	4	-1	5	15.2	15.1	0.09	16.1	17.3	-1.20
Calbert Cheaney	31	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.16	3	0	3	15.2	15.1	0.15	15.6	17.9	-2.24
Adonal Foyle	42	41	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.08	-10	13	-23	14.2	15.8	-1.58	18.7	16.1	2.64

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	28	29	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-7	11	16.3	17.5	-1.24	15.2	15.1	0.12
Reggie Evans	48	48	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-7	11	18.2	16.2	1.99	13.3	16.8	-3.51
Vladimir Radmanovic	45	48	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-3	3	16.3	17.9	-1.64	16.9	13.5	3.40
Mikki Moore	4	4	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	3	-9	19.0	17.1	1.90	14.0	15.2	-1.17
Luke Ridnour	59	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	1	-5	18.4	15.4	3.01	13.6	17.6	-4.03
Ronald Murray	51	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-3	3	16.1	18.4	-2.28	16.6	13.7	2.91
Nick Collison	59	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	1	-5	17.6	16.6	0.97	15.8	14.1	1.63
Ray Allen	86	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-1	-1	17.0	18.4	-1.42	15.4	13.2	2.13
Damien Wilkins	33	31	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.33	-5	2	-7	15.8	17.8	-2.00	14.9	15.2	-0.27
Rashard Lewis	77	78	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.45	-2	-1	-1	17.6	15.8	1.80	14.8	16.5	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.54,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 120, IND 118	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.4,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.26,0.46,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.27,0	88.3%
SAS 85, ORL 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.42,0	88.1%
LAC 105, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.55,0.58,0	87.7%