NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	110		Excitement	12.6 [9]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +10.3%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	9.1 [66]		LVP	Robert Pack (NJN): -40.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.1	0.14	-0.02	0.02	18	67%	0.10	0	0.00	9	89%	0.06
Ed O'Bannon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	5	30%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Caldwell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	6	44%	-0.06	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Khalid Reeves	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16	0.01	-0.17	0.01	15	62%	-0.08	3	-0.08	7	43%	-0.07
Shawn Bradley	-0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.17	-0.01	-0.16	0.00	9	50%	-0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Kendall Gill	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.33,-0.33,-0.39,-0.47,-0.47,-0.27	-0.13	-0.14	0.00	19	38%	-0.21	3	-0.06	4	50%	0.02
Robert Pack	-0.41	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.35,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41	-0.16	-0.25	-0.00	16	53%	-0.01	10	-0.39	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	9	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Frank Brickowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	8	65%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	9	59%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Rick Fox	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	13	41%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Dino Radja	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.35	-0.35	-0.08	-0.27	-0.00	23	46%	-0.24	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.35,-0.35	-0.35	-0.12	-0.24	-0.01	15	49%	-0.02	5	-0.33	7	29%	-0.15
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.31,-0.25,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4	-0.40	-0.07	-0.33	-0.00	12	44%	-0.13	3	-0.27	1	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	596.9	1.7	26.2	-704.7	44.7	2.4	30.7	2.0	12.8	12.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -18.3%

NJN +24.6%

NJN +22.9%

NJN +16.9%

NJN +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	BOS	NBA	NJN	BOS	NBA
this game	14.5	14.6	15.6	100.0	99.1	104.4
season	15.4	14.8		101.7	101.8
opponent	14.7	14.9		109.5	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	13.7	16.5	10.8	16.1	17.9	14.5
BOS	13.0	12.9	15.9	17.4	13.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	98	98	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.41	13	-11	24	14.5	14.4	0.05	14.7	13.9	0.74
Shawn Bradley	69	67	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.47	6	-4	10	12.8	17.2	-4.43	15.3	13.5	1.79
Jayson Williams	93	93	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.44	5	-3	8	13.9	17.6	-3.70	14.9	12.6	2.36
Kendall Gill	87	85	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.43	5	-3	8	12.8	20.8	-7.99	14.7	14.2	0.42
Robert Pack	92	90	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.44	1	1	0	14.0	16.9	-2.97	15.1	11.9	3.19
Adrian Caldwell	5	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	3	-4	28.0	13.8	14.18	12.0	14.7	-2.70
Ed O'Bannon	23	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	5	-8	20.8	12.8	7.99	14.2	14.7	-0.42
Tony Massenburg	53	53	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.04	-6	8	-14	16.3	12.7	3.62	13.3	15.7	-2.41
Khalid Reeves	30	30	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.03	-10	12	-22	15.9	13.9	2.02	12.7	15.3	-2.64

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Day	17	17	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-7	12	14.1	14.7	-0.62	17.4	13.9	3.49
Eric Williams	57	57	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.29	11	-13	24	14.9	14.2	0.66	14.6	14.4	0.20
Frank Brickowski	31	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	6	-14	15.5	14.2	1.31	16.3	13.7	2.65
Greg Minor	44	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	3	-8	13.1	15.6	-2.49	15.0	14.1	0.91
David Wesley	70	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-6	10	14.8	14.2	0.54	15.5	12.4	3.10
Antoine Walker	73	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-1	0	14.6	14.5	0.16	15.3	12.8	2.46
Rick Fox	78	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	1	-4	14.7	14.3	0.40	13.4	17.1	-3.62
Dino Radja	100	101	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.40	-5	3	-8	15.0	9.4	5.60	13.7	22.9	-9.18
Dana Barros	75	75	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.41	-8	6	-14	14.0	15.9	-1.94	12.9	17.9	-4.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.72,0.58,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.61,0.37,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 130, WAS 125	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.31,0.39,0.32,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.33,0.27,0.5,0.53,0.16,0.22,0.31,0	88.6%
MEM 88, GSW 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.42,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.16,0.32,0.09,0	88.4%
MIN 92, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.42,0	87.8%