NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	88		Excitement	9.3 [113]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +21.7%
Golden State Warriors	81		Comeback	4.9 [146]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (GSW): -68.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.22	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.22,0.22	0.03	0.18	-0.02	19	47%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Mike Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.06	-0.00	10	32%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.01	8	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.02	-0.13	0.00	22	45%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Marc Gasol	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.02	-0.22	0.04	14	53%	-0.14	3	-0.14	6	100%	0.06

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	8	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	19	52%	0.24	3	-0.22	2	50%	-0.03
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	14	53%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ognjen Kuzmic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	17	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.38,-0.63,-0.63,-0.69,-0.69,-0.69,-0.69	-0.69	-0.20	-0.51	-0.02	14	23%	-0.45	4	-0.24	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	26.6	15.4	23.6	2.5	34.4	2.5	12.4	141.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -34.1%

MEM +28.8%

MEM +6.9%

MEM +38.9%

MEM +9.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	19.3	16.4	15.1	97.8	92.0	105.2
season	16.4	14.2		104.5	105.9
opponent	15.3	15.2		102.0	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	22.3	18.6	17.6	19.2	19.3	19.3
GSW	16.5	15.0	16.7	17.7	15.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	66	63	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.53	12	-5	17	19.5	18.9	0.64	15.9	17.4	-1.46
Zach Randolph	79	76	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.39	8	-1	9	19.4	18.8	0.60	16.4	16.0	0.41
Mike Conley	66	64	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-1	9	20.0	17.7	2.29	16.2	16.9	-0.72
Mike Miller	49	47	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	3	1	18.9	19.9	-1.07	16.8	15.8	1.02
Marc Gasol	65	64	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.29	3	4	-1	20.0	17.5	2.53	16.0	17.2	-1.18
Nick Calathes	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.06	2	5	-3	19.3	19.3	-0.01	12.1	16.7	-4.57
Kosta Koufos	36	36	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.09	3	4	-1	17.9	20.3	-2.38	16.8	16.0	0.77
Jerryd Bayless	29	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	6	-5	17.7	20.1	-2.49	18.7	15.2	3.54
Quincy Pondexter	54	54	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.19	-6	13	-19	19.7	18.7	0.99	15.9	17.0	-1.10

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	25	27	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.03	3	-10	13	16.4	16.3	0.01	16.9	20.4	-3.51
Ognjen Kuzmic	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-8	9	24.0	16.3	7.74	13.0	19.5	-6.49
Kent Bazemore	9	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-4	1	18.6	16.1	2.45	17.6	19.6	-1.96
Klay Thompson	80	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-8	9	15.9	20.4	-4.42	20.3	12.2	8.16
Andrew Bogut	70	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.23	0	-7	7	16.3	16.4	-0.12	20.3	15.3	5.01
Marreese Speights	22	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	0	-7	17.4	16.0	1.35	17.2	20.1	-2.97
Andre Iguodala	79	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-3	-1	16.1	18.6	-2.45	19.6	17.6	1.96
Harrison Barnes	82	83	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.24	-11	4	-15	16.4	15.3	1.09	19.1	22.3	-3.19
David Lee	72	73	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.40	-15	8	-23	16.3	16.5	-0.18	19.4	19.3	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.42,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.16,0.32,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 102, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.4,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.55,0.72,0.78,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.15,0.23,0.05,0	91.3%
NYK 118, MIL 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.24,0,0	90.3%
NYK 102, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.66,0.53,0.78,0.67,0.82,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.17,0	89.1%