inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 88 Excitement9.3 [113] MVPMike Conley (MEM): +21.7%
Golden State Warriors 81 Comeback4.9 [146] LVPAndre Iguodala (GSW): -68.7%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0.220,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.22,0.220.030.18-0.021947%0.2200.002100%0.01
Quincy Pondexter-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00550%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Jerryd Bayless-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.01-0.00543%-0.0200.004100%0.03
Mike Miller-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00437%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kosta Koufos-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.090.06-0.001032%0.022-0.04250%-0.02
Tayshaun Prince-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.040.02-0.040.01850%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Nick Calathes-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Zach Randolph-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.10.02-0.130.002245%-0.1000.003100%0.03
Marc Gasol-0.280,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.02-0.220.041453%-0.143-0.146100%0.06

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.080.080.070.020.00875%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.00462%0.0400.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.001952%0.243-0.22250%-0.03
Harrison Barnes0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.010.010.01-0.02-0.021453%0.072-0.052100%0.01
Ognjen Kuzmic00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
David Lee0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.050.001750%-0.021-0.0220%-0.04
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.0010%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.03520%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.38,-0.63,-0.63,-0.69,-0.69,-0.69,-0.69-0.69-0.20-0.51-0.021423%-0.454-0.24250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game21.52.426.615.423.62.534.42.512.4141.2
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.41.917.6136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW -34.1%
MEM +28.8%
MEM +6.9%
MEM +38.9%
MEM +9.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMGSWNBAMEMGSWNBA
this game19.316.415.197.892.0105.2
season16.414.2104.5105.9
opponent15.315.2102.0103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MEM22.318.617.619.219.319.3
GSW16.515.016.717.715.816.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tayshaun Prince66630.88-0.381.260.5312-51719.518.90.6415.917.4-1.46
Zach Randolph79760.63-0.130.750.398-1919.418.80.6016.416.00.41
Mike Conley66640.60-0.100.700.368-1920.017.72.2916.216.9-0.72
Mike Miller49470.410.090.320.2943118.919.9-1.0716.815.81.02
Marc Gasol65640.380.120.250.2934-120.017.52.5316.017.2-1.18
Nick Calathes670.000.50-0.49-0.0625-319.319.3-0.0112.116.7-4.57
Kosta Koufos3636-0.000.50-0.51-0.0934-117.920.3-2.3816.816.00.77
Jerryd Bayless2929-0.030.53-0.56-0.0616-517.720.1-2.4918.715.23.54
Quincy Pondexter5454-0.360.86-1.22-0.19-613-1919.718.70.9915.917.0-1.10

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Draymond Green25270.11-0.610.730.033-101316.416.30.0116.920.4-3.51
Ognjen Kuzmic120.00-0.500.51-0.031-8924.016.37.7413.019.5-6.49
Kent Bazemore910-0.17-0.330.15-0.09-3-4118.616.12.4517.619.6-1.96
Klay Thompson8079-0.22-0.280.07-0.251-8915.920.4-4.4220.312.28.16
Andrew Bogut7072-0.23-0.270.03-0.230-7716.316.4-0.1220.315.35.01
Marreese Speights2224-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.06-70-717.416.01.3517.220.1-2.97
Andre Iguodala7980-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.21-4-3-116.118.6-2.4519.617.61.96
Harrison Barnes8283-0.570.07-0.63-0.24-114-1516.415.31.0919.122.3-3.19
David Lee7273-0.840.34-1.17-0.40-158-2316.316.5-0.1819.419.30.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.42,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.16,0.32,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 102, ATL 1000.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.4,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.55,0.72,0.78,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.15,0.23,0.05,091.3%
NYK 118, MIL 1130.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.24,0,090.3%
NYK 102, WAS 980.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.66,0.53,0.78,0.67,0.82,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.17,089.1%