NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	114		Excitement	12.1 [14]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +54.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	111		Comeback	21.9 [50]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -37.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.44	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.44	0.05	0.37	-0.02	25	55%	0.46	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.07,-0.07,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	7	79%	0.20	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.01	21	57%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.04	-0.03	16	34%	-0.09	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.33

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.31,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54	0.54	0.19	0.35	-0.00	30	65%	0.59	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	-0.00	10	68%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.07
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.02	10	78%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	8	55%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Ansu Sesay	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	0.00	7	59%	0.00	1	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.37	-0.24	-0.17	-0.03	15	22%	-0.26	3	-0.11	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.3	1.7	25.0	16.8	34.0	1.8	36.0	1.6	13.0	157.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +7.6%

IND +20.1%

IND +27.8%

SEA -11.3%

IND +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SEA	NBA	IND	SEA	NBA
this game	16.2	15.3	15.5	112.9	109.9	101.6
season	15.4	16.5		102.2	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.0	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	16.3	14.9	16.6	16.1	18.6	16.2
SEA	13.7	15.1	16.9	15.2	16.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	57	56	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.58	5	-2	7	17.6	14.5	3.08	16.1	14.3	1.80
Metta World Peace	66	65	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.56	4	-1	5	16.9	14.9	2.04	15.2	15.4	-0.28
Jermaine O'Neal	81	81	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.55	3	0	3	16.8	13.7	3.08	15.2	15.4	-0.23
Al Harrington	72	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	0	3	15.7	17.6	-1.97	14.6	16.9	-2.31
Jamaal Tinsley	67	66	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.49	-4	7	-11	16.7	15.4	1.30	15.6	14.7	0.89
Erick Strickland	34	35	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.08	7	-4	11	15.4	16.7	-1.30	14.7	15.6	-0.89
Austin Croshere	22	22	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.09	7	-4	11	14.7	16.6	-1.91	15.9	15.1	0.82
Brad Miller	23	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	5	-7	18.1	15.7	2.42	17.7	14.5	3.26
Jonathan Bender	39	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.15	2	1	1	14.6	17.2	-2.65	14.7	15.6	-0.90
Jeff Foster	24	25	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	3	-3	14.0	16.9	-2.91	15.8	15.1	0.65
Ron Mercer	20	21	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.09	-10	13	-23	14.9	16.5	-1.58	12.9	15.9	-2.98

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	29	30	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.21	2	-5	7	13.3	16.1	-2.75	14.3	17.0	-2.73
Predrag Drobnjak	46	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-5	7	16.1	14.5	1.58	16.8	15.7	1.05
Reggie Evans	25	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-3	3	17.6	14.5	3.15	17.7	15.7	1.94
Calvin Booth	19	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	1	-5	14.0	15.6	-1.56	15.2	16.5	-1.27
Ansu Sesay	1	1	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	0	-3	0.0	15.4	-15.42	23.0	16.1	6.85
Gary Payton	85	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.47	2	-5	7	15.7	12.8	2.92	16.8	13.6	3.17
Vladimir Radmanovic	64	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-2	1	14.3	16.9	-2.65	15.7	17.1	-1.37
Desmond Mason	76	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.34	-6	3	-9	14.5	17.5	-2.94	15.5	18.2	-2.61
Rashard Lewis	83	83	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.42	-5	2	-7	15.8	12.8	2.96	16.3	15.6	0.74
Brent Barry	77	77	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.58	-2	-1	-1	15.7	14.0	1.72	16.6	14.9	1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.42,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.45,0.57,0.73,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.22,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 120, IND 118	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.4,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.26,0.46,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.27,0	88.5%
CLE 114, WAS 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.72,0.91,0.84,0.46,0.32,0.46,0.32,0.28,0	88.4%
LAC 140, NYK 135	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.15,0.57,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.08,0	88.1%