NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	111		Excitement	6.6 [510]		MVP	Mikal Bridges (PHX): +43.3%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	41.4 [33]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -21.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0.43	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.19,0.31,0.43	0.15	0.29	0.01	10	75%	0.43	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Devin Booker	0.21	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.05	-0.03	26	58%	0.23	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Deandre Ayton	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.16	0.04	0.10	-0.03	18	53%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	5	80%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	3	60%	0.04	5	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Landry Shamet	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	7	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.03	-0.11	0.02	11	67%	0.01	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.15	-0.01	7	70%	0.26	4	-0.08	9	67%	0.08
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	5	79%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	18	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	10	39%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.08	-0.05	13	43%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.18	-0.02	21	40%	-0.19	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.4	27.6	14.6	34.2	2.4	35.4	138.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +73.3%

UTA -11.3%

PHX +6.1%

UTA -13.4%

UTA -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	14.0	15.3	14.5	112.1	107.1	110.8
season	14.2	14.8		114.0	115.1
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.0	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.5	16.5	14.4	11.5	14.0
UTA	17.1	14.1	11.7	18.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	71	70	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.19	27	-21	48	12.9	16.7	-3.85	16.2	13.0	3.16
Jae Crowder	57	55	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.40	13	-7	20	13.4	14.8	-1.42	14.3	16.4	-2.07
Chris Paul	78	78	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.24	18	-12	30	13.3	16.5	-3.16	15.5	14.1	1.39
Deandre Ayton	72	72	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.33	15	-9	24	13.1	16.4	-3.37	15.3	15.1	0.24
Devin Booker	81	79	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.43	11	-5	16	13.1	18.1	-4.97	14.9	16.6	-1.71
Torrey Craig	22	23	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.12	-5	11	-16	16.9	13.2	3.75	17.1	14.7	2.45
JaVale McGee	27	26	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.00	-9	15	-24	16.4	13.1	3.37	15.1	15.3	-0.24
Aaron Holiday	21	20	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.08	-12	18	-30	16.5	13.3	3.16	14.1	15.5	-1.39
Cameron Johnson	42	44	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.08	-7	13	-20	14.8	13.4	1.38	15.7	14.9	0.77
Landry Shamet	24	23	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	0.15	-21	27	-48	17.6	12.8	4.80	13.1	15.9	-2.78

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Clarkson	42	41	0.50	-1.00	1.50	0.00	17	-23	40	16.5	14.3	2.22	15.7	12.8	2.97
Juancho Hernangomez	22	22	0.45	-0.95	1.39	-0.11	19	-25	44	15.6	15.2	0.43	18.6	12.7	5.92
Hassan Whiteside	32	30	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.13	-2	-4	2	16.7	14.5	2.22	13.0	14.4	-1.42
Jared Butler	5	4	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-6	6	22.0	14.9	7.11	14.5	14.0	0.53
Royce O'Neale	62	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.35	-19	13	-32	14.9	15.9	-1.00	12.5	16.8	-4.35
Danuel House Jr.	49	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.66	14	-20	34	14.9	15.7	-0.80	16.0	12.2	3.87
Rudy Gobert	66	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	-2	-2	14.5	16.7	-2.22	14.4	13.0	1.42
Mike Conley	68	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.44	-5	-1	-4	14.6	16.7	-2.08	14.4	13.1	1.28
Bojan Bogdanovic	68	70	-0.94	0.44	-1.39	-0.21	-25	19	-44	15.2	15.3	-0.06	12.6	17.3	-4.70
Donovan Mitchell	76	77	-0.95	0.45	-1.39	-0.21	-25	19	-44	15.2	15.6	-0.43	12.7	18.6	-5.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.88,0.87,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.74,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 112, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.87,0.55,0.54,0.76,0.42,0	89.8%
IND 116, CHH 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.46,0.41,0.27,0	89.4%
MEM 99, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.75,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.84,0.68,0.28,0	88.9%