NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	112		Excitement	7.4 [366]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (OKC): +18.9%
Houston Rockets	107		Comeback	104.3 [8]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -32.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.06,0.19	0.11	0.12	0.04	16	66%	0.24	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.05
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.14	-0.00	10	54%	0.16	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.04
Chris Paul	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	-0.00	0.00	18	65%	0.18	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,0.18,0.18,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.04	0.01	19	56%	0.26	4	-0.20	7	100%	0.06
Darius Bazley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Deonte Burton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	38%	-0.00	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	10%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.02	-0.03	11	59%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.02	0.01	24	65%	0.16	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	8	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	12	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.14,-0.41,-0.32	-0.32	-0.11	-0.23	-0.02	29	41%	-0.02	4	-0.30	13	77%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	31.2	15.2	28.7	2.3	30.6	135.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +15.6%

OKC +25.3%

OKC +2.6%

OKC +7.8%

HOU -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	HOU	NBA	OKC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.2	13.5	14.2	106.7	103.9	109.6
season	14.3	13.4		108.8	111.2
opponent	14.4	14.5		108.9	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.5	15.0	16.6	11.1	14.2
HOU	12.6	12.7	14.1	14.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	75	74	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-8	21	14.2	14.0	0.18	13.9	12.4	1.50
Chris Paul	71	72	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.11	17	-12	29	13.8	14.9	-1.15	13.8	12.9	0.84
Dennis Schroder	77	75	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	1	3	13.6	15.7	-2.17	13.1	14.6	-1.44
Mike Muscala	55	55	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.54	-1	6	-7	13.9	14.5	-0.65	13.6	13.5	0.12
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	87	84	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	4	-3	13.8	15.9	-2.08	13.2	14.9	-1.68
Luguentz Dort	68	65	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	3	-1	15.1	12.4	2.80	13.9	12.9	1.00
Deonte Burton	19	18	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	1	3	14.6	14.1	0.57	13.9	13.4	0.44
Steven Adams	4	3	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	3	-1	18.2	14.0	4.25	9.7	13.6	-3.97
Hamidou Diallo	31	31	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.06	-5	10	-15	13.8	14.3	-0.50	12.7	13.9	-1.12
Darius Bazley	38	38	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.05	-12	17	-29	15.1	13.7	1.40	13.7	13.4	0.34

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	26	25	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.10	13	-18	31	12.8	13.8	-1.01	15.2	13.8	1.31
Ben McLemore	39	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.27	-12	7	-19	14.3	13.0	1.26	15.5	13.3	2.23
Clint Capela	55	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	1	-7	13.2	13.9	-0.66	14.4	13.9	0.53
P.J. Tucker	88	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.43	-1	-4	3	13.5	13.6	-0.09	14.3	13.1	1.22
James Harden	83	84	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	-3	1	13.6	13.0	0.59	14.4	13.1	1.27
Danuel House Jr.	77	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.40	-4	-1	-3	14.1	11.9	2.19	13.5	16.0	-2.49
Russell Westbrook	83	84	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.35	-13	8	-21	13.3	14.5	-1.21	13.6	16.5	-2.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.87,0.55,0.54,0.76,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, PHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.72,0.78,0.72,0	90.0%
CHI 101, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.72,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.42,0	89.6%
PHI 100, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.77,0.73,0	89.6%